Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 10/15/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Indianapolis Colts (3-2) are hitting the road to TIAA Bank Field on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2). Indianapolis opens this game as 6.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 45.

The Indianapolis Colts step onto the field holding a record of 3-2 for this year. When they last took the field, the Colts faced the Titans and notched a win by a score of 23-16. Gardner Minshew II went 11/14 with 155 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 112.8 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Zack Moss led the offense in rushing for the Colts with 23 carries for 165 yards (7.2 yards per attempt). Josh Downs averaged 16.2 yds per catch by earning 97 yds on 6 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ended up running the ball 34 times and accounted for 193 yds, which came out to an average of 5.7 yds per carry. When all was said and done, they tallied 61 plays which gave them a total of 429 yds. Indianapolis conceded 23 completions on 35 tries for 259 yards, and a completion rate of 65.7%. On the ground, the Colts conceded 89 yards on 22 tries, which is 4.0 yards per rush allowed.

The Colts have attained 1,718 total yards for the year. Indianapolis has accrued 56 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 34 penalties for 243 yds. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Indianapolis has compiled 5 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 4 times (1 pick and 3 fumbles). As a unit they hold an average of 131.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 8th in the league. When talking about scoring points, the Indianapolis Colts have an average of 24.0 points per game.

Regarding passing yardage, the Colts have surrendered 1,314 yards which has them ranked 30th in the NFL. They have given up 262.8 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 68.1%. Over the course of this year, they have yielded 382.0 yards/outing which ranks them 28th in the NFL. They are allowing 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 119.2 rushing yards per game for the season. During the season, they have conceded 596 rushing yards through 5 games. The Colts rank 22nd in the league regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 23.0 PPG.

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The Jaguars step onto the field holding a record of 3-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Jaguars took home the win by a final score of 25-20 against the Bills. Travis Etienne ran the football 26 times for 136 yds, ending the game with 5.2 yards per carry for Jacksonville. Calvin Ridley was one of the featured targets for the Jaguars, snagging 7 throws for 122 yds (17.4 yds per catch). Trevor Lawrence (1 TD) finished the game with 315 yds on 25/37 passing while his QB rating was 102.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 8.5 yards. Jacksonville allowed 14 rushing attempts for 29 yards (2.1 yards per carry). The Jaguars secondary conceded a completion percentage of 67.5%, surrendering 359 yards on 27 for 40 through the air. The Jaguars finished the contest with 474 yds on 82 plays (5.8 yards per play). Jacksonville rushed for 4.9 yards per tote, finishing the game with 196 yds on 40 attempts.

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Jaguars currently sit 20th in the league by scoring 21.0 points per contest. Over the course of the season so far, the Jaguars currently have a total of 1,195 passing yards not to mention an average of 239.0 passing yards per contest, which ranks 11th in the NFL. They are averaging 119.2 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 596 yards for the year. The Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 358.2 yards per outing which is good for 10th in the NFL. The Jacksonville offense has 185 penalty yds on 23 violations, ranking them 31st in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 2 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 64 1st downs.

They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 262.4 yards/outing, which has them sitting 27th in the NFL. Jacksonville has conceded a total of 408 yards rushing (81.6 yards/game) as well as 3 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 102 points in total. They have compiled 11 takeaways (6 fumbles and 5 picks) so far this season. The Jaguars defense taken the field for 300 plays, which is good for 9th in the NFL. The Jaguars are giving up 20.4 points per game, ranking them 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jaguars -6.5

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