Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 12/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Indianapolis Colts (8-6) are hitting the road to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Atlanta Falcons (6-8). Indianapolis opens this game as 2-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 44.

The Indianapolis Colts head into this game 8-6 this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts played the Steelers and took home the win by a score of 30-13. Trey Sermon was the leader on the ground for the Colts with 17 attempts for 88 yds (5.2 yds per carry). Michael Pittman Jr. left with an average of 19.5 yards per reception by totaling 78 yds on 4 catches. Gardner Minshew II went 18/28 with 215 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 123.4 and finished the contest with no picks. Against the run, the Colts conceded 74 yards on 24 attempts, which is an average of 3.1 yards per run allowed. Indianapolis conceded 18 pass completions on 26 tries for 142 yards, and a completion rate of 69.2%. In all, they had 65 plays which totaled 372 yards. The Indianapolis Colts ran the rock 34 different times and totaled 170 yards, which earned them an average of 5.0 yards per attempt.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Indianapolis Colts have an average of 24.6 points per game. As a team they're maintaining an average of 114.7 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 13th in the NFL. The Colts have earned 4,754 total yards for the year. Indianapolis has accrued 151 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 83 infractions for 590 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 20 different times (9 interceptions and 11 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Indianapolis has compiled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns on the ground.

The Colts are sitting in 26th in the National Football League when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 24.5 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per run and 127.4 rushing yards per game this year. For the year, they have conceded 1,784 yards via the running game in 14 contests. When talking about yards through the air, the Colts have surrendered 3,081 yards which has them sitting in 14th in the league. They have given up 220.1 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.3%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 347.5 yards per contest ranking them 21st in the NFL.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 6-8 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons took a loss by a score of 9-7 when they faced the Panthers. Desmond Ridder (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 152 yards on 12/20 passing while his quarterback rating was 79.6. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.6 yds. Jonnu Smith was the top contributor in the passing game for the Falcons, catching 2 balls for 61 yards (30.5 yards per catch). Tyler Allgeier ran the football 14 times for 45 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.2 yds per attempt for Atlanta. The Falcons finished with 204 yards while they ran 51 plays (4.0 yards per play). Atlanta ran for 1.7 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 52 yds on 31 attempts. Atlanta conceded 36 running attempts for 129 yds (3.6 yards per carry). The Falcons passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 75.0%, relinquishing 154 yds on 18 for 24 through the air.

In relation to how much they score, the Falcons are 26th in the league with an average of 18.4 PPG. Over the course of the season thus far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 2,811 yards through the air in addition to an average of 200.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 23rd in football. They have an average of 126.4 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,770 yards for this year. The Atlanta Falcons hold an average of 327.2 yards per outing ranking them 19th in the NFL. The Atlanta offense has racked up 618 yards of penalties on 71 infractions, which is 27th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 11 picks while allowing opponents to recover 10 fumbles and they have obtained 151 1st downs.

They have allowed 19 touchdowns through the air in addition to 199.5 yards per outing, which has them ranked 8th out of all teams. Atlanta has conceded a total of 1,571 yards on the ground (112.2 yards per contest) as well as 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. This season, they have conceded 278 total points. They have compiled 15 turnovers (8 fumbles and 7 picks) on the season. The Falcons defense has taken part in 884 plays, which is good for 13th in the NFL. The Falcons are relinquishing 19.9 points per contest, which has them sitting 8th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Falcons +2 and over 44 total points

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