Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 8/27/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, August 27, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 38

The Houston Texans (3-13-1 last season) are traveling to Caesars Superdome on Sunday where they will try to beat the New Orleans Saints (7-10 last year). New Orleans opens as 3-point favorites. The over/under is 38.

The Houston Texans ended the season with a 3-13-1 mark. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans played the Colts and went home with a win by a final score of 32-31. Dare Ogunbowale led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 11 attempts for 33 yards (3.0 yards per carry). Brandin Cooks had an average of 21.2 yards per reception by tallying 106 yds on 5 receptions. Davis Mills finished 22/38 with 298 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 87.4 and walked away from the game with 2 interceptions. When it came to stopping the run, the Texans conceded 196 yds on 33 attempts, which is 5.9 yards per run allowed. Houston conceded 23 pass completions on 35 attempts for a total of 202 yards, and a completion rate of 65.7%. In the game, they ran 64 plays which gave them 360 yards. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 23 different times and accounted for 59 yds, which came out to an average of 2.6 yards per carry.

The Texans earned 4,820 total yards over the course of last season. Houston compiled 159 1st downs as a unit, and they were hurt by 88 penalties for 644 yds. Houston compiled 20 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns via the ground. They surrendered the football 28 times (19 interceptions and 9 fumbles lost). As a team they held an average of 86.8 yards on the ground, which had them sitting 31st in the NFL. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Texans had an average of 17.0 points per outing.

Concerning yards through the air, the Texans conceded 3,558 yards which had them ranked 11th in the NFL. During their 17 games, they relinquished 209.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as relinquishing a completion percentage of 64.4%. They yielded 379.5 yards/game putting them at 30th in the NFL. They gave up 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 25 touchdowns on the ground. They allowed 5.1 yards per rushing attempt and 170.2 rushing yards per game for the previous year. Over the course of last year, they gave up 2,894 running yards through 17 contests. The Texans sat in 27th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 24.7 points per game.

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The Saints wrapped up their year holding a 7-10 record. In their last game, the Saints took a defeat with a final score of 10-7 when they faced the Panthers. Alvin Kamara carried the rock 23 times for 107 yards, walking away from the game with 4.7 yds per carry for New Orleans. Chris Olave was featured in the passing game for the Saints, bringing in 5 throws for 60 yards (12.0 yards per catch). Andy Dalton (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 171 yds on 15/25 through the air while his QB rating was 93.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.8 yds. New Orleans surrendered 41 running attempts for 171 yds (4.2 yds per rush). The Saints pass defense gave up a completion rate of 33.3%, relinquishing 32 yds on 5 for 15 passing. The Saints finished the contest with a total of 304 yards and they ran 58 plays (5.2 yds per play). New Orleans rushed for 4.5 yards per carry, finishing with 143 yards on 32 carries.

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Saints ranked 22nd in the league maintaining an average of 19.4 PPG. Last season, the Saints had a total of 3,692 yards through the air as well as averaging 217.2 passing yards per outing, ranking them 16th in the league. They had an average of 116.6 run yards per game and rushed for 1,982 yards for last year. The New Orleans Saints maintained an average of 333.8 yards per game which was good for 19th in football. The New Orleans offense compiled 841 penalty yds on 99 infractions, which was 12th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They tossed 14 picks while allowing opponents to recover 11 fumbles and they tallied 181 first downs.

They yielded 17 touchdowns through the air and 184.4 yards/game, which had them sitting 2nd in the league. New Orleans gave up a total of 2,218 rushing yards (130.5 yards per contest) in addition to 14 touchdowns rushing last season. They compiled 14 turnovers (7 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) in the prior season. The Saints defense took the field for 1,076 plays, which ranked them 15th in the league. Overall, they relinquished 345 total points. The Saints allowed 20.3 points per contest, which had them in 9th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Saints -3

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