Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Prediction, 8/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots

Date: Thursday, August 10, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 38.5

Gillette Stadium is the location where the New England Patriots (8-9 last year) will attempt to defeat the Houston Texans (3-13-1 last season) on Thursday. New England is 1.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 385.

The Houston Texans wrapped up their year having earned a 3-13-1 record. When they last stepped on the football field, the Texans went up against the Colts and earned the victory with a final of 32-31. Davis Mills connected on 22/38 with 298 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 87.4 and walked away from the game with 2 picks. Dare Ogunbowale was the leader on the ground for the Texans with 11 attempts for 33 yards (3.0 yds per carry). Brandin Cooks held an average of 21.2 yards per catch by earning 106 yards on 5 receptions. The Houston Texans ran the football 23 times and accrued 59 yards, earning them an average of 2.6 yds per carry. For the game, they ran 64 plays which gave them 360 yds. Houston gave up 23 completions on 35 attempts for 202 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.7%. On the ground, the Texans gave up 196 yards on 33 attempts, which averages out to 5.9 yards per rush allowed.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Texans had an average of 17.0 points per game. As a unit they held an average of 86.8 yds on the ground, ranking them 31st in the league. The Texans earned 4,820 total yards for the prior campaign. Houston amassed 159 1st downs as a team, and they were flagged for 88 infractions for 644 yds. They surrendered the ball 28 times (19 picks and 9 fumbles). Houston earned 20 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Texans conceded 3,558 yards which ranked them 11th in the NFL. Over the course of their 17 games played last season, they allowed 209.3 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.4%. They gave up 379.5 yards per outing which put them 30th in the NFL. They allowed 15 touchdowns through the air as well as 25 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams ran for an average of 5.1 yards per rushing attempt and 170.2 rushing yards per contest last year. Overall, they conceded 2,894 running yards through 17 contests. The Texans ranked 27th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 24.7 points per game.

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The Patriots wrapped up their year holding a 8-9 record. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Patriots took a defeat with a final score of 35-23 against the Bills. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the rock 6 times for 54 yards, finishing the contest with 9.0 yards per carry for New England. DeVante Parker was the best receiver for the Patriots, snagging 6 passes for 79 yds (13.2 yards per reception). Mac Jones (3 TDs) ended the game with 243 yards on 26/40 passing while his QB rating was 75.3. He tossed 3 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.1 yards. New England surrendered 25 running attempts for 90 yards (3.6 yds per carry). The Patriots pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 61.3%, relinquishing 237 yds on 19 out of 31 passing. The Patriots finished with a total of 341 yds on 64 plays (5.3 yards per play). New England ran the ball for 4.7 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 107 yds on 23 attempts.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Patriots were 17th out of all teams in the NFL by scoring 21.4 points per contest. Over the course of last season, the Patriots compiled 3,536 yards through the air as well as an average of 208.0 passing yards per outing, putting them at 20th out of all NFL teams. They held an average of 106.6 yards per game on the ground and rushed for 1,812 yards for the year. The New England Patriots averaged 314.6 yards/game which had them ranked 26th in the league. The New England offense totaled 841 penalty yards on 104 infractions, which was 9th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They tossed 14 interceptions while conceding 9 fumbles and they tallied 166 1st downs.

The Patriots relinquished 20.4 PPG, which put them in 11th in the league. They surrendered 28 touchdowns through the air and 216.5 yards/outing, which put them in 16th in the NFL. Last year, they gave up 347 total points. New England yielded a total of 1,793 yards rushing (105.5 yards/game) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush throughout last season. The Patriots defense took part in 1,091 plays, which ranked them 22nd in football. They had 30 takeaways (11 fumbles recovered and 19 interceptions) over the course of the prior season.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans -1.5

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