Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 9/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Houston Texans (0-2) are headed to TIAA Bank Field on Sunday where they will compete against the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1). Houston opens this contest as 7.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 45.5.

The Houston Texans come into this game with a record of 0-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Texans faced off with the Colts and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-20. C.J. Stroud finished 30/47 with 384 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 103.5 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Nico Collins averaged 20.9 yards per catch by accumulating 146 yards on 7 catches. Dameon Pierce was the leader on the ground for the Texans with 15 attempts for 31 yds (2.1 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 79 plays which gave them a total of 389 yards. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 26 different times and totaled 52 yds, which came out to an average of 2.0 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Texans gave up 126 yds on 23 attempts, which is an average of 5.5 yds per rush allowed. Houston relinquished 25 pass completions on 33 attempts for a total of 227 yds, and a completion rate of 75.8%.

The Texans currently have 657 total yards for the year. Houston has recorded 31 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 12 penalties for 108 yds. In terms of scoring, Houston has earned 2 touchdowns via the pass and 0 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 2 different times (0 picks and 2 fumbles lost). As a unit they're averaging 62.0 yards rushing ranking this team at 29th in the league. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Houston Texans hold an average of 14.5 points per game.

The Texans are ranked 27th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, conceding 28.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 118.0 yards on the ground per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 236 running yards through 2 games. Concerning passing yards, the Texans have surrendered 382 yards which has them ranked 11th in the NFL. They have yielded 191.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 76.4%. For the season, they are conceding 309.0 yards per contest which has them ranked 11th in the National Football League.

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The Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 1-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Jaguars took a loss by a final score of 17-9 against the Chiefs. Travis Etienne carried the ball 12 times for 40 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.3 yds per attempt for Jacksonville. Christian Kirk was one of the featured targets for the Jaguars, snagging 11 throws for 110 yds (10.0 yards per reception). Trevor Lawrence finished the contest with 216 yards on 22/41 through the air while his quarterback rate was 68.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 5.3 yards. Jacksonville surrendered 22 rush attempts for 101 yds (4.6 yards per rush). The Jaguars passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 70.7%, relinquishing 298 yards on 29 for 41 through the air. The Jaguars finished the game with a total of 271 yds while running 64 plays (4.2 yds per play). Jacksonville rushed for 4.1 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 74 yds on 18 attempts.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Jaguars sit 21st out of all teams in football by scoring 20.0 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Jaguars currently have a total of 434 yards via the pass as well as an average of 217.0 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 14th in football. They hold an average of 89.5 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 179 yards in total. The Jacksonville Jaguars hold an average of 306.5 yards per contest which is good for 22nd in football. The Jacksonville offense has totaled 55 yards of penalties on 6 violations, which ranks 32nd in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 1 interception while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 24 first downs.

They have allowed 3 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 256.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 25th in football. Jacksonville has conceded a total of 166 yards rushing (83.0 yards/game) and 1 touchdown by ground for the year. This year, they have surrendered 38 points in total. Their defense has 6 turnovers (4 fumbles and 2 interceptions) this season. The Jaguars defense taken the field for 133 plays, which is 21st in the NFL. The Jaguars are allowing 19.0 points per game, which puts them in 10th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Texans +7.5

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