Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 11/12/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bengals (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Cincinnati Bengals (5-3) will play the Houston Texans (4-4) at Paycor Stadium on Sunday. Cincinnati opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 46.5.

The Houston Texans head into this matchup 4-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans faced the Buccaneers and went home with a win by a final score of 39-37. Devin Singletary led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 13 totes for 26 yards (2.0 yds per carry). Noah Brown left with an average of 25.5 yards per catch by earning 153 yards on 6 catches. C.J. Stroud connected on 30/42 with 470 yds passing and 5 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 147.8 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Texans gave up 81 yards on 31 tries, which averages out to 2.6 yds per run surrendered. Houston relinquished 21 completions on 30 attempts for 251 yards, and a completion rate of 70.0%. For the game, they had 62 plays which totaled 496 yds. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 17 different times and amassed 53 yards, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per attempt.

The Texans have tallied 2,809 total yards for the season. Houston has tallied 110 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 55 penalties for 485 yds. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Houston has amassed 15 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 5 times (1 interception and 4 fumbles). As a unit they are averaging 87.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 27th in the league. Concerning scoring, the Houston Texans are sitting at 23.4 points per game.

The Texans sit in 15th in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 20.6 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.5 yards per run and 97.0 rushing yards per game this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 776 yards via the ground game in 8 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Texans have surrendered 1,904 yards which puts them in 17th in the league. They have allowed 238.0 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 70.5%. Overall, they have given up 335.0 yards per outing which ranks them 18th in the National Football League.

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The Bengals come into this matchup with a record of 5-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bengals walked away with a victory by a final of 24-18 against the Bills. Joe Mixon carried the rock 14 times for 37 yds, ending the game with 2.6 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. Tee Higgins was the best receiver for the Bengals, snagging 8 throws for 110 yds (13.8 yds per reception). Joe Burrow (2 TDs) finished the game with 348 yards on 31/44 through the air while his QB rating was 108.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.9 yds. Cincinnati conceded 16 run attempts for 68 yds (4.3 yds per carry). The Bengals pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 68.4%, surrendering 249 yards on 26 out of 38 passing. The Bengals ended up finishing with 397 yards and they ran 67 plays (5.9 yards per play). Cincinnati ran the ball for 2.5 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 54 yards on 22 attempts.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Bengals rank 23rd in football averaging 19.4 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bengals have thrown for 1,728 yards through the air as well as an average of 216.0 throwing yards per game, which is ranked 18th in the league. They are averaging 75.9 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 607 yards overall. The Cincinnati Bengals maintain an average of 291.9 yards per game which ranks them 25th in the NFL. The Cincinnati offense has compiled 286 yds of penalties on 37 violations, which is good for 32nd in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 4 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 99 1st downs.

The Bengals are surrendering 20.3 PPG, which puts them in 12th in the league. They have conceded 10 touchdowns via the pass and 234.3 yards per game, which puts them in 22nd out of all teams. Cincinnati has surrendered a total of 1,038 rushing yards (129.8 yards/game) in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Bengals defense has been on the field for 494 plays, which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. They have 15 takeaways (4 fumbles and 11 interceptions) this year. This year, they have given up 162 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans +6.5

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