Houston Texans vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 10/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Houston Texans vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

The Houston Texans (2-2) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will meet the Atlanta Falcons (2-2). Atlanta opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 41.5.

The Houston Texans come into this game with a record of 2-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Texans played the Steelers and walked away with a win by a score of 30-6. C.J. Stroud finished 16/30 with 306 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 111.2 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Nico Collins left with an average of 24.0 yards per catch by totaling 168 yds on 7 catches. Dameon Pierce was the rushing leader for the Texans with 24 totes for 81 yds (3.4 yds per carry). On the day, they ran 69 plays which totaled 451 yds. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 38 different times and totaled 139 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yards per tote. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Texans gave up 114 yds on 25 attempts, which averages out to 4.6 yds per rush surrendered. Houston conceded 18 pass completions on 28 attempts for 111 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.3%.

Regarding scoring, the Houston Texans hold an average of 24.0 PPG. Offensively they average 87.3 yards on the ground ranking them 26th in the league. The Texans have earned 1,474 total yards for the year. Houston has tallied 56 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 28 infractions for 246 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 different times (2 fumbles lost). With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Houston has totaled 7 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground.

When it comes to passing yards, the Texans have surrendered 781 yards which has them ranked 9th in the league. They are conceding 195.3 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 71.2%. In total, they are allowing 311.8 yards per contest ranking them 13th in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per run and 116.5 rushing yards per contest this season. For the season, they have given up 466 yards via the ground game in 4 outings. The Texans rank 11th in the NFL concerning team defense, allowing 19.8 PPG.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 2-2 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons walked away with a loss by a score of 23-7 when they played the Jaguars. Bijan Robinson ran the ball 14 times for 105 yards, ending the contest with 7.5 yds per carry for Atlanta. Jonnu Smith was featured in the passing game for the Falcons, grabbing 6 balls for 95 yds (15.8 yds per reception). Desmond Ridder (1 TD) ended the contest with 191 yds on 19/31 through the air while his QB rate was 62.7. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.2 yds. Atlanta allowed 32 rush attempts for 105 yds (3.3 yds per rush). The Falcons pass defense conceded a completion rate of 76.7%, relinquishing 195 yds on 23 out of 30 passing. The Falcons finished the contest with a total of 287 yds while they ran 57 plays (5.0 yds per play). Atlanta rushed for 5.8 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 127 yards on 22 carries.

The Atlanta Falcons maintain an average of 284.3 yards per contest which has them ranked 24th out of all teams in the NFL. They hold an average of 128.0 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 512 yards overall. They have thrown 3 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 36 1st downs. The Atlanta offense has racked up 227 yds of penalties on 19 infractions, ranking them 29th in the league in terms of making mistakes. For the year so far, the Falcons currently have a total of 625 passing yards in addition to an average of 156.3 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 32nd out of all NFL teams. In relation to their ability to score points, the Falcons rank 25th out of all teams in the league with an average of 15.5 points per game.

The Falcons are giving up 19.3 PPG, which puts them in 10th in the league. They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air and 176.3 yards/game, which has them in 5th in football. Atlanta has surrendered a total of 458 yards on the ground (114.5 yards/game) in addition to 1 touchdown via the rush for the year. The Falcons defense has participated in 247 plays, which has them ranked 11th in the league. Their defense has earned 4 turnovers (1 fumble and 3 interceptions) this season. Overall, they have conceded 77 total points.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans +4.5

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