Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 11/12/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Steelers (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 37.5

The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) are welcoming the Green Bay Packers (3-5) at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday. Green Bay opens this game as 3.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 37.5.

The Green Bay Packers step onto the field holding a record of 3-5 for this year. When they last took the field, the Packers faced the Rams and earned the victory with a final of 20-3. Jordan Love went 20/26 with 228 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 115.5 and ended the game with no picks. Aaron Jones was the best rusher for the Packers with 20 totes for 73 yards (3.7 yds per carry). Luke Musgrave left with an average of 17.0 yds per reception by accounting for 51 yds on 3 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ended up running the ball 38 times and amassed 184 yds, which came out to an average of 4.8 yds per attempt. In the game, they ran 68 plays which gave them a total of 391 yds. Green Bay relinquished 13 completions on 28 tries for a total of 119 yards, and a completion percentage of 46.4%. On the ground, the Packers conceded 68 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 2.6 yards per rush allowed.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Green Bay Packers are averaging 20.0 PPG. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 100.4 yards via the ground game which is 22nd in the NFL. The Packers have tallied 2,400 total yards over the course of this season. Green Bay has earned 86 first downs offensively, and they have committed 60 penalties for 481 yds. They have turned the football over 10 times (8 picks and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Green Bay has compiled 12 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns via the ground.

The Packers rank 10th in the league when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 19.9 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.0 yards per run and 124.0 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have given up 992 rushing yards through 8 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Packers have conceded 1,569 yards which has them ranked 6th in the league. They are giving up 196.1 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 65.4%. In total, they have given up 320.1 yards/outing ranking them 11th in the league.

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The Steelers head into this matchup 5-3 for this season. In their last game, the Steelers got the win with a final of 20-16 against the Titans. Kenny Pickett (1 touchdown) ended the game with 160 yds on 19/30 passing while his QB rating was 88.2. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.3 yds. Diontae Johnson was featured in the passing game for the Steelers, bringing in 7 footballs for 90 yds (12.9 yds per reception). Jaylen Warren carried the football 11 times for 88 yds, ending the game with 8.0 yards per attempt for Pittsburgh. The Steelers finished the game with a total of 326 yds while they ran 60 plays (5.4 yds per play). Pittsburgh rushed for 5.5 yds per carry, totaling 166 yards on 30 attempts. Pittsburgh relinquished 25 rush attempts for 105 yards (4.2 yds per rush). The Steelers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 56.4%, surrendering 235 yards on 22 for 39 through the air.

The Pittsburgh Steelers average 278.5 yards per contest which has them ranked 29th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 90.5 yards per game on the ground and have run for 724 yards overall. They have given away 6 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 70 1st downs. The Pittsburgh offense has racked up 392 penalty yards on 46 infractions, which is good for 28th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. Over the course of the season to this point, the Steelers have thrown for a total of 1,504 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 188.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 25th in the NFL. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Steelers rank 29th in the NFL holding an average of 16.6 PPG.

The Steelers are giving up 20.4 PPG, ranking them 13th of all teams in the league. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 244.1 yards per game, which has them ranked 25th out of all teams. Pittsburgh has allowed a total of 1,065 rushing yards (133.1 yards/game) as well as 5 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Steelers defense taken the field for 545 plays, ranking them 17th in the NFL. They have earned 16 turnovers (8 fumbles and 8 picks) on the year. This season, they have conceded 163 total points.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Steelers -3.5

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