Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/23/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, November 23, 2023

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The Green Bay Packers (4-6) are hitting the road to Ford Field on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Detroit Lions (8-2). Detroit opens this matchup as 7.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 47.

The Green Bay Packers head into this game 4-6 for this season. When they last took the field, the Packers played against the Chargers and went home with a win by a final score of 23-20. Jayden Reed was the leader on the ground for the Packers with 3 carries for 46 yds (15.3 yards per carry). Dontayvion Wicks had an average of 30.3 yards per catch by accumulating 91 yards on 3 receptions. Jordan Love connected on 27/40 with 322 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 108.5 and ended the game with no picks. Against the rush, the Packers conceded 150 yards on 24 attempts, which averages out to 6.3 yards per run allowed. Green Bay surrendered 21 completions on 36 tries for a total of 244 yds, and a completion rate of 58.3%. In all, they had 71 plays which gave them a total of 397 yards. The Green Bay Packers ended up running the ball 28 different times and compiled 102 yards, which is an average of 3.6 yards per tote.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Green Bay Packers hold an average of 20.2 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 102.1 yards on the ground ranking them 21st in the NFL. The Packers have racked up 3,196 total yards for the season. Green Bay has compiled 115 first downs, and they have committed 72 penalties for 559 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times (10 picks and 2 fumbles). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Green Bay has compiled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns on the ground.

Concerning yards through the air, the Packers have allowed 1,932 yards which has them ranked 7th in the National Football League. They have given up 193.2 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 64.2%. During the season, they have allowed 327.9 yards per contest putting them 17th in football. They are giving up an average of 4.3 yards per running attempt and 134.7 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. For the year, they have given up 1,347 rushing yards through 10 games. The Packers are ranked 10th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 20.2 PPG.

Get all of our Free NFL Picks

The Lions step onto the field holding a record of 8-2 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Lions went home victorious with a score of 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff (2 TDs) finished the contest with 236 yds on 23/35 through the air while his QB rating was 68.3. He had 3 picks and his Y/A was 6.7 yds. Amon-Ra St. Brown was the top contributor in the passing game for the Lions, hauling in 8 throws for 77 yards (9.6 yds per catch). David Montgomery ran the ball 12 times for 76 yds, walking away from the contest with 6.3 yds per carry for Detroit. The Lions finished the game with 338 yards and they ran 59 plays (5.7 yds per play). Detroit ran the ball for 5.2 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 115 yards on 22 carries. Detroit gave up 46 rush attempts for 183 yds (4.0 yards per rush). The Lions pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 69.6%, relinquishing 151 yards on 16 out of 23 through the air.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Lions are sitting 6th in the NFL scoring 27.2 points per game. For the year to this point, the Lions currently have a total of 2,630 passing yards in addition to an average of 263.0 passing yards per game, putting them at 4th in football. They hold an average of 136.6 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,366 yards for the year. The Detroit Lions maintain an average of 399.6 yards/game which has them ranked 2nd out of all teams in the NFL. The Detroit offense has totaled 527 yards of penalties on 55 violations, which is good for 25th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 8 interceptions while conceding 6 fumbles and they have recorded 134 1st downs.

The Lions are surrendering 22.9 points per game, which puts them in 22nd of all teams in the NFL. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns through the air and 223.5 yards/game, which puts them in 16th in the league. Detroit has allowed a total of 895 yards on the ground (89.5 yards per outing) as well as 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Lions defense taken the field for 605 plays, which is good for 4th in the NFL. They have earned 12 takeaways (4 fumbles and 8 interceptions) on the year. Overall, they have given up 229 total points.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers +7.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here