Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 10/22/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Denver Broncos (1-5) will go up against the Green Bay Packers (2-3) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday. Denver opens this matchup as 1-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 45.

The Green Bay Packers come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this season. In their last game, the Packers stepped onto the field against the Raiders and took a loss by a final of 17-13. Jordan Love connected on 16/30 with 182 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 32.2 and finished the contest with 3 picks. AJ Dillon led the offense in rushing for the Packers with 20 attempts for 76 yards (3.8 yards per carry). Luke Musgrave averaged 5.7 yds per reception by recording 34 yds on 6 catches. The Green Bay Packers ran the rock 25 different times and totaled 110 yards, which came out to an average of 4.4 yards per carry. In all, they ran 57 plays for 285 yards. Green Bay relinquished 22 completions on 31 tries for a total of 183 yds, and a completion percentage of 71.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Packers conceded 96 yds on 29 attempts, which calculates to 3.3 yds per run surrendered.

The Packers currently have 1,408 total yards over the course of this season. Green Bay has accounted for 49 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 34 infractions for 269 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Green Bay has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 6 times (6 picks and 0 fumbles). Offensively they have an average of 81.6 yards via the ground game ranking them 27th in the National Football League. When talking about scoring points, the Green Bay Packers are sitting at 22.6 points per contest.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Packers have surrendered 972 yards which has them sitting in 2nd in the NFL. They have allowed 194.4 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 66.0%. For the year, they have allowed 337.8 yards per game putting them at 17th in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 4.3 yards per run and 143.4 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have conceded 717 yards via the running game in 5 contests. The Packers are ranked 22nd in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 22.6 PPG.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 1-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos took a defeat with a final score of 19-8 when they played the Chiefs. Russell Wilson (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 95 yds on 13/22 passing while his QB rate was 46.6. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.3 yards. Courtland Sutton was one of the featured targets for the Broncos, grabbing 4 balls for 46 yards (11.5 yds per reception). Javonte Williams carried the football 10 times for 52 yards, walking away from the game with 5.2 yds per attempt for Denver. The Broncos finished the contest with a total of 197 yards and they ran 49 plays (4.0 yards per play). Denver ended up running for 5.0 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 115 yards on 23 attempts. Denver surrendered 27 run attempts for 96 yds (3.6 yards per carry). The Broncos secondary conceded a completion percentage of 73.2%, relinquishing 293 yds on 30 out of 41 through the air.

The Denver Broncos are averaging 306.3 yards per game ranking them 21st in football. They hold an average of 106.0 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 636 yards for this year. They have tossed 4 picks while losing 7 fumbles and they have tallied 55 first downs. The Denver offense has compiled 291 penalty yds on 40 infractions, which is 9th in football in terms of giving up free yards. For the season to this point, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 1,202 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 200.3 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 20th in the NFL. When discussing their ability to score points, the Broncos rank 17th in the league holding an average of 21.5 points per contest.

The Broncos are surrendering 33.3 points per contest, which has them sitting 32nd in football. They have conceded 14 touchdowns from the passing game and 268.0 yards/game, ranking them 30th in the NFL. Denver has conceded a total of 1,034 yards rushing (172.3 yards per contest) as well as 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 394 plays, which is 27th in the NFL. They have totaled 6 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 4 picks) over the course of the season. This year, they have allowed 200 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos +1

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