Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 44

Soldier Field is the site where the Chicago Bears (3-14 last year) will play the Green Bay Packers (8-9 last season) on Sunday. Green Bay opens this contest as 2-point dogs. The total comes in at 44.

The Green Bay Packers wrapped up their season having earned a 8-9 record. In their last game, the Packers took the field against the Lions and went home with a loss by a final score of 20-16. Aaron Rodgers connected on 17/27 with 205 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 83.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. Christian Watson left with an average of 20.8 yards per catch by recording 104 yards on 5 receptions. Aaron Jones was the leader on the ground for the Packers with 12 totes for 48 yards (4.0 yards per carry). In all, they tallied 57 plays which gave them 291 yards. The Green Bay Packers ran the football 28 times and totaled 103 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Packers gave up 104 yds on 25 attempts, which averages out to 4.2 yards per run allowed. Green Bay surrendered 23 pass completions on 34 tries for a total of 219 yds, and a completion rate of 67.6%.

The Packers earned 5,745 total yards for the prior campaign. Green Bay accrued 186 1st downs, and they committed 89 penalties for 747 yds. Green Bay amassed 27 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns. They turned the ball over 22 times (12 interceptions and 10 fumbles lost). Offensively they averaged 124.3 yds on the ground, which was 15th in the league. Regarding putting points on the board, the Green Bay Packers averaged 21.8 PPG.

The Packers sat in 17th in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 21.8 PPG. They allowed 5.0 yards per rush and 139.5 rushing yards per game for the previous season. For the season, they conceded 2,372 rushing yards through 17 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Packers conceded 3,349 yards which put them in 6th in the NFL. In their 17 games, they gave up 197.0 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 65.7%. They yielded 336.5 yards/game ranking them 17th in the league. They conceded 22 throwing touchdowns as well as 18 rushing touchdowns.

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The Bears ended the season holding a 3-14 record. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bears took a defeat with a final score of 29-13 against the Vikings. Nathan Peterman (1 TD) ended the contest with 114 yards on 11/19 passing while his quarterback rating was 92.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.0 yds. Cole Kmet was the best receiver for the Bears, hauling in 4 balls for 57 yards (14.3 yards per catch). Khalil Herbert ran the football 10 times for 50 yards, finishing the contest with 5.0 yards per attempt for Chicago. The Bears finished with 259 yards while running 50 plays (5.2 yards per play). Chicago rushed the football for 5.4 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 118 yds on 22 attempts. Chicago relinquished 38 rushing attempts for 141 yards (3.7 yds per rush). The Bears passing defense conceded a completion rate of 84.8%, surrendering 341 yards on 28 for 33 through the air.

The Chicago Bears maintained an average of 307.8 yards/game which ranked them 28th out of all teams in the league. They had an average of 177.3 yards via the ground game and toted the ball for 3,014 yards for the season. The Chicago offense compiled 754 yards of penalties on 80 infractions, which was good for 30th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They tossed 15 interceptions while surrendering 10 fumbles and they earned 109 first downs. Last season, the Bears threw for a total of 2,219 yards via the pass as well as averaging 130.5 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 32nd in the NFL. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Bears were 23rd in the NFL holding an average of 19.2 points per game.

The Bears conceded 27.2 points per game, which had them ranked 32nd in the NFL. They conceded 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 218.6 yards per outing, which had them sitting 17th in the league. Last year, they gave up 463 points in total. Chicago gave up a total of 2,674 yards rushing (157.3 yards per contest) as well as 31 touchdowns on the ground last season. The Bears defense was on the field for 1,043 plays, which was 9th in the NFL. They compiled 23 turnovers (9 fumbles and 14 interceptions) during the previous year.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Bears NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears -2

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