Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 9/17/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 2

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

The Green Bay Packers (1-0) are en route to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will meet the Atlanta Falcons (1-0). Atlanta opens this contest as 1.5-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 41.

The Green Bay Packers come into this game with a record of 1-0 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Packers played the Bears and earned the victory with a final of 38-20. Aaron Jones was the rushing leader for the Packers with 9 totes for 41 yds (4.6 yards per carry). Aaron Jones had an average of 43.0 yds per reception by tallying 86 yards on 2 receptions. Jordan Love connected on 15/27 with 245 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 123.2 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Packers conceded 122 yards on 29 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yds per rush surrendered. Green Bay conceded 24 completions on 37 tries for a total of 189 yards, and a completion rate of 64.9%. In the game, they had 60 plays which gave them a total of 329 yds. The Green Bay Packers ended up rushing 32 different times and accounted for 92 yards, earning them an average of 2.9 yards per tote.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Green Bay Packers hold an average of 38.0 PPG. As a unit they average 92.0 yards in the run game which ranks them 18th in the National Football League. The Packers have racked up 329 total yards this season. Green Bay has accounted for 10 first downs, and they have been flagged for 9 penalties for 90 yds. They haven't turned the ball over yet. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Green Bay has earned 3 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Packers rank 18th in the league concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 20.0 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 122.0 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. Overall, they have allowed 122 rushing yards through 1 game. When talking about yards via the pass, the Packers have surrendered 189 yards which ranks them 16th in the NFL. They have allowed 189.0 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.9%. Overall, they have yielded 311.0 yards/game putting them at 19th in the NFL.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 1-0 this season. The last time they took the field, the Falcons walked away with a victory by a final of 24-10 when they played the Panthers. Tyler Allgeier ran the football 15 times for 75 yds, ending the game with 5.0 yds per attempt for Atlanta. Kyle Pitts had the best day in terms of receiving for the Falcons, hauling in 2 footballs for 44 yds (22.0 yards per catch). Desmond Ridder (1 touchdown) ended the game with 115 yards on 15/18 passing while his QB rating was 111.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.4 yards. Atlanta relinquished 32 rushing attempts for 154 yds (4.8 yds per rush). The Falcons secondary allowed a completion rate of 52.6%, relinquishing 127 yds on 20 out of 38 through the air. The Falcons finished the contest with 221 yards and they ran 48 plays (4.6 yards per play). Atlanta rushed the ball for 5.0 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 130 yards on 26 attempts.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Falcons currently sit 10th in the league averaging 24.0 points per game. Over the course of the season so far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 91 yards through the air. They maintain an average of 130.0 yards per game via the ground game. The Atlanta Falcons have an average of 221.0 yards per game which has them ranked 28th in football. The Atlanta offense has accrued 43 penalty yds on 6 violations, which is 17th in the league in terms of giving up free yards.

The Falcons are conceding 10.0 points per contest, which puts them in 5th in the NFL. They have allowed 1 touchdown from the passing game and 127.0 yards per outing, which has them in 7th in the NFL. Atlanta has given up a total of 154 yards rushing. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 72 plays, which is good for 28th in the NFL. They have compiled 3 takeaways (1 fumble and 2 interceptions) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +1.5

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