Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 12/3/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 46

Caesars Superdome is the site where the New Orleans Saints (5-6) will go up against the Detroit Lions (8-3) on Sunday. Detroit opens as 4-point favorites. The total has been set at 46.

The Detroit Lions step onto the field holding a record of 8-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Lions played against the Packers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 29-22. David Montgomery was the rushing leader for the Lions with 15 totes for 71 yds (4.7 yards per carry). Amon-Ra St. Brown had an average of 10.6 yds per reception by totaling 95 yards on 9 catches. Jared Goff went 29/44 with 332 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 103.6 and ended the game without throwing an interception. In the running game, the Lions gave up 109 yards on 22 attempts, which averages out to 5.0 yds per rush allowed. Detroit allowed 22 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 268 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.8%. In all, they had 78 plays which gave them 464 yds. The Detroit Lions ran the football 31 times and tallied 140 yds, which is an average of 4.5 yds per attempt.

In terms of scoring, the Detroit Lions have an average of 26.7 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 136.9 yards on the ground which ranks them 6th in the National Football League. The Lions have earned 4,460 total yards for the season. Detroit has accrued 151 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 62 penalties for 578 yards. They have surrendered the ball 17 times (8 interceptions and 9 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Detroit has totaled 18 touchdowns via the pass and 17 rushing touchdowns.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Lions have conceded 2,503 yards which has them sitting in 17th in the league. They have conceded 227.5 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 63.0%. In total, they have yielded 318.8 yards per game putting them at 10th in the league. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 91.3 yards on the ground per game this season. In total, they have conceded 1,004 yards via the ground game in 11 games. The Lions are ranked 24th in the National Football League when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 23.5 PPG.

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The Saints head into this game 5-6 this season. When they last took the field, the Saints took a defeat with a final score of 24-15 when they played the Falcons. Derek Carr ended the contest with 304 yards on 24/38 through the air while his QB rating was 77.1. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0 yds. Alvin Kamara carried the rock 15 times for 69 yds, finishing the game with 4.6 yds per carry for New Orleans. Chris Olave was one of the featured targets for the Saints, grabbing 7 footballs for 114 yards (16.3 yds per catch). New Orleans rushed for 5.3 yds per carry, totaling 148 yds on 28 attempts. The Saints finished the game with a total of 444 yds on 67 plays (6.6 yds per play). The Saints secondary conceded a completion rate of 61.9%, surrendering 168 yds on 13 for 21 passing. New Orleans conceded 41 rushing attempts for 228 yards (5.6 yards per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Saints currently rank 18th in the NFL with 20.8 PPG. During the season thus far, the Saints have thrown for 2,670 passing yards as well as an average of 242.7 passing yards per contest, ranking them 11th in football. They average 104.4 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,148 yards for the year. The New Orleans Saints maintain an average of 347.1 yards per contest which is good for 12th in the NFL. The New Orleans offense has 642 penalty yards on 70 violations, which is 16th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 8 picks while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to tally 126 first downs.

They have yielded 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 196.3 yards per game, which has them sitting 7th in the NFL. New Orleans has conceded a total of 1,364 yards rushing (124.0 yards per contest) in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground this year. This season, they have given up 222 total points. They have totaled 20 turnovers (6 fumbles recovered and 14 interceptions) this year. The Saints defense has participated in 681 plays, which is good for 7th in the NFL. The Saints are relinquishing 20.2 PPG, which has them in 9th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Lions/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Saints +4

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