Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 11/12/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Detroit Lions (6-2) are en route to SoFi Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the Los Angeles Chargers (4-4). Los Angeles opens this game as 1.5-point dogs. The total is set at 49.

The Detroit Lions head into this game 6-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Lions faced the Raiders and went home with a win by a final score of 26-14. Jared Goff connected on 26/37 with 272 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 89 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Jahmyr Gibbs was the leader on the ground for the Lions with 26 carries for 152 yds (5.8 yards per carry). Amon-Ra St. Brown held an average of 18.0 yards per reception by accumulating 108 yards on 6 catches. The Detroit Lions ended up rushing 43 different times and recorded 222 yards, which is an average of 5.2 yards per carry. In the game, they tallied 81 plays which gave them 486 yds. Detroit surrendered 10 completions on 21 tries for a total of 77 yds, and a completion percentage of 47.6%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Lions gave up 80 yds on 18 tries, which is an average of 4.4 yds per run allowed.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Detroit Lions are averaging 25.0 points per game. As a team they maintain an average of 131.4 yards on the ground ranking this team at 6th in the NFL. The Lions currently have 3,125 total yards this season. Detroit has accumulated 107 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 46 penalties for 458 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times (5 interceptions and 5 fumbles). In terms of notching touchdowns, Detroit has compiled 12 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground.

The Lions sit in 14th in the league in terms of their opponents scoring, giving up 20.6 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per rush and 76.8 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 614 rushing yards through 8 games. When talking about passing yardage, the Lions have given up 1,761 yards which puts them in 10th in the league. They have conceded 220.1 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 61.2%. In total, they are surrendering 296.9 yards per outing which ranks them 5th in the league.

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The Chargers come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chargers went home victorious with a score of 27-6 when they faced the Jets. Justin Herbert finished the game with 136 yards on 16/30 passing while his QB rate was 65.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 4.5 yds. Keenan Allen was a featured target for the Chargers, hauling in 8 balls for 77 yards (9.6 yards per catch). Austin Ekeler carried the rock 14 times for 47 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.4 yards per attempt for Los Angeles. The Chargers finished the game with a total of 191 yds while running 56 plays (3.4 yards per play). Los Angeles ran the ball for 4.0 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 84 yards on 21 carries. Los Angeles gave up 20 rush attempts for 64 yds (3.2 yds per rush). The Chargers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 67.3%, relinquishing 206 yards on 33 out of 49 passing.

The Los Angeles Chargers have an average of 341.0 yards/game which is good for 15th in football. They are averaging 101.1 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 809 yards in total. They have given away 4 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have recorded 100 1st downs. The Los Angeles offense has racked up 417 penalty yds on 45 violations, which ranks them 29th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. During the season thus far, the Chargers currently sit at 1,919 yards through the air as well as an average of 239.9 throwing yards per game, putting them at 11th out of all NFL teams. When it comes to how much they score, the Chargers are ranking 8th out of all teams in the NFL scoring 25.1 points per contest.

The Chargers are giving up 21.8 points per game, which has them in 21st of all teams in the league. They have given up 12 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 286.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 32nd in the NFL. Los Angeles has given up a total of 718 rushing yards (89.8 yards per contest) and 8 touchdowns rushing this year. The Chargers defense has been on the field for 540 plays, ranking them 15th in football. Their defense has totaled 15 turnovers (9 fumbles and 6 picks) this year. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 174 total points.

Who will win tonight's Lions/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chargers +1.5

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