Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 9/28/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Detroit Lions (2-1) are hitting the road to Lambeau Field on Thursday where they will take on the Green Bay Packers (2-1). Green Bay opens this contest as 1-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 46.5.

The Detroit Lions step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Lions faced the Falcons and notched a win by a score of 20-6. Jared Goff went 22/33 with 243 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 85.8 and finished the game with 1 interception. Amon-Ra St. Brown had an average of 11.3 yards per reception by notching 102 yards on 9 receptions. Jahmyr Gibbs was the leader on the ground for the Lions with 17 attempts for 80 yards (4.7 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 64 plays which gave them 358 yds. The Detroit Lions ended up running the ball 31 different times and amassed 115 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yards per tote. Against the run, the Lions conceded 44 yards on 20 attempts, which is an average of 2.2 yds per rush allowed. Detroit relinquished 21 pass completions on 38 tries for a total of 139 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.3%.

When it comes to scoring points, the Detroit Lions are sitting at 24.0 points per outing. As a team they maintain an average of 111.7 yards on the ground which is 11th in the league. The Lions have tallied 1,144 total yards over the course of this season. Detroit has a total of 39 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 18 infractions for 206 yds. They have surrendered the football 5 different times (2 interceptions and 3 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Detroit has totaled 5 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns on the ground.

Concerning passing yardage, the Lions have given up 676 yards which has them sitting in 19th in football. They have surrendered 225.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.7%. Overall, they are giving up 297.3 yards per contest which puts them 11th in the NFL. They are giving up an average of 3.2 yards per tote and 72.0 rushing yards per game for the year. For the season, they have conceded 216 yards via the ground game in 3 games. The Lions rank 15th in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 21.0 PPG.

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The Packers come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Packers went home victorious with a score of 18-17 when they faced the Saints. Jordan Love ran the football 9 times for 39 yds, finishing the game with 4.3 yds per carry for Green Bay. Romeo Doubs was the top contributor in the passing game for the Packers, snagging 5 passes for 73 yards (14.6 yards per catch). Jordan Love (1 TD) ended the contest with 259 yards on 22/44 through the air while his QB rate was 66.4. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.9 yards. Green Bay surrendered 22 rushing attempts for 77 yds (3.5 yds per rush). The Packers secondary allowed a completion percentage of 67.6%, relinquishing 175 yds on 23 out of 34 through the air. The Packers finished the contest with 340 yds while running 71 plays (4.8 yards per play). Green Bay rushed the ball for 3.7 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 95 yards on 26 attempts.

The Green Bay Packers have an average of 297.7 yards/outing which has them sitting 22nd out of all teams in the NFL. They average 90.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 271 yards for the season. They have thrown 1 pick while conceding 0 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 33 first downs. The Green Bay offense has totaled 220 yds of penalties on 27 violations, which has them sitting 2nd in football in terms of giving up free yards. For the season so far, the Packers have thrown for a total of 622 passing yards as well as an average of 207.3 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 19th in football. In terms of their ability to score points, the Packers rank 8th in football with 26.7 points per contest.

They have surrendered 3 touchdowns through the air and 199.7 yards/contest, ranking them 10th in football. Green Bay has given up a total of 410 yards via the ground game (136.7 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns via the rush this season. Overall, they have relinquished 62 points in total. Their defense has compiled 3 turnovers (1 fumble recovery and 2 picks) this season. The Packers defense taken the field for 208 plays, ranking them 27th in the league. The Packers are conceding 20.7 points per game, ranking them 14th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Lions/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lions +1

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