Denver Broncos vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 9/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Denver Broncos vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (2-0) will try to defeat the Denver Broncos (0-2) on Sunday. Denver opens this matchup as 5.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 45.5.

The Denver Broncos come into this game with a record of 0-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Broncos played the Commanders and took a loss by a score of 35-33. Russell Wilson finished 18/32 with 308 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 107.3 and ended the game with 1 interception. Russell Wilson was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 6 attempts for 56 yds (9.3 yds per carry). Marvin Mims had an average of 56.5 yards per catch by recording 113 yds on 2 catches. The Denver Broncos ran the ball 23 times and totaled 122 yds, which had them averaging 5.3 yards per tote. Overall, they ran 62 plays which gave them 399 yds. Denver gave up 27 completions on 39 attempts for 266 yards, and a completion rate of 69.2%. Against the run, the Broncos gave up 122 yds on 23 tries, which calculates to 5.3 yards per rush surrendered.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Denver Broncos are averaging 24.5 points per contest. As a team they're maintaining an average of 108.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 15th in the league. The Broncos have tallied 659 total yards this year. Denver has earned 19 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 19 penalties for 141 yds. They have surrendered the ball 2 different times (1 interception and 1 fumble lost). In terms of getting in the endzone, Denver has totaled 5 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground.

When talking about passing yardage, the Broncos have surrendered 466 yards which puts them in 21st in the NFL. They have conceded 233.0 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 72.3%. Overall, they have surrendered 324.5 yards per outing which puts them 16th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt and 91.5 yards on the ground per contest this year. Overall, they have given up 183 yards via the ground game in 2 games. The Broncos are ranked 24th in the NFL when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 26.0 points per game.

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The Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 2-0 for this year. In their last game, the Dolphins got the victory with a final of 24-17 against the Patriots. Raheem Mostert ran the football 18 times for 121 yards, ending the contest with 6.7 yards per carry for Miami. Jaylen Waddle was a featured target for the Dolphins, hauling in 4 balls for 86 yds (21.5 yards per catch). Tua Tagovailoa (1 TD) ended the contest with 249 yds on 21/30 passing while his quarterback rate was 92.2. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.3 yards. Miami gave up 25 running attempts for 88 yards (3.5 yds per rush). The Dolphins secondary allowed a completion rate of 73.8%, relinquishing 200 yds on 31 out of 42 through the air. The Dolphins finished the game with 389 yds and they ran 61 plays (6.4 yds per play). Miami rushed the ball for 4.8 yds per carry, totaling 145 yds on 30 attempts.

When discussing how much they score, the Dolphins are ranking 4th out of all teams in football maintaining an average of 30.0 points per outing. Over the course of the season to this point, the Dolphins have thrown for a total of 710 yards through the air as well as an average of 355.0 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 1st in the league. They are averaging 107.5 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 215 yards for this year. The Miami Dolphins average 462.5 yards/outing which has them ranked 1st out of all teams in the league. The Miami offense has 84 yards of penalties on 12 violations, which is 14th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 2 picks while letting opponents recover 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 38 first downs.

They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass as well as 200.0 yards per game, ranking them 14th out of all teams. Miami has allowed the opposition a total of 321 yards rushing (160.5 yards per contest) and 4 touchdowns rushing for the season. Overall, they have relinquished 51 points in total. They have 2 turnovers (1 fumble and 1 interception) on the campaign. The Dolphins defense taken the field for 147 plays, ranking them 28th in football. The Dolphins are surrendering 25.5 points per game, which has them ranked 19th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -5.5

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