Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 10/12/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Thursday, October 12, 2023

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) are welcoming the Denver Broncos (1-4) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday. Kansas City opens this contest as 9.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 51.

The Denver Broncos head into this matchup 1-4 for this season. When they last took the field, the Broncos faced off with the Jets and ended up losing by a score of 31-21. Russell Wilson finished 20/31 with 196 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 103.7 and ended the contest with no interceptions. Samaje Perine had an average of 18.3 yards per reception by totaling 73 yards on 4 catches. Jaleel McLaughlin was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 9 attempts for 68 yds (7.6 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they tallied 57 plays which totaled 308 yds. The Denver Broncos ended up rushing 22 times and accounted for 139 yards, which had them averaging 6.3 yards per tote. In the running game, the Broncos gave up 234 yards on 32 tries, which is an average of 7.3 yds per rush surrendered. Denver surrendered 19 completions on 26 attempts for 173 yds, and a completion percentage of 73.1%.

The Broncos have earned 1,641 yards in total for the season. Denver has accounted for 51 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 37 infractions for 257 yards. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Denver has totaled 11 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have turned the ball over 8 different times (2 picks and 6 fumbles). As a team they're maintaining an average of 104.2 yards in the run game which has them sitting 19th in the league. In terms of scoring, the Denver Broncos are sitting at 24.2 points per game.

Regarding passing yards, the Broncos have conceded 1,315 yards which has them sitting in 31st in the league. They have conceded 263.0 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 77.3%. In total, they are allowing 450.6 yards per outing which puts them 32nd in the National Football League. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.9 yards per run and 187.6 rushing yards per contest for the year. Overall, they have allowed 938 rushing yards through 5 games. The Broncos sit in 32nd in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 36.2 points per contest.

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The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs went home victorious with a score of 27-20 when they faced the Vikings. Isiah Pacheco ran the ball 16 times for 55 yds, ending the game with 3.4 yds per attempt for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, grabbing 10 footballs for 67 yds (6.7 yards per catch). Patrick Mahomes (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 281 yards on 31/41 through the air while his QB rating was 109.9. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 6.9 yards. Kansas City relinquished 18 attempts on the ground for 70 yards (3.9 yds per carry). The Chiefs secondary gave up a completion rate of 61.7%, relinquishing 259 yds on 29 out of 47 passing. The Chiefs finished the contest with 333 yds while they ran 64 plays (5.2 yds per play). Kansas City rushed the ball for 3.2 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 67 yards on 21 attempts.

Regarding how much they score, the Chiefs rank 9th in the NFL with an average of 25.6 points per outing. For the season to this point, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 1,290 passing yards as well as an average of 258.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 7th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 123.0 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 615 yards for the season. The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 381.0 yards per outing which ranks them 7th in the NFL. The Kansas City offense has compiled 266 penalty yds on 33 violations, which is 9th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 6 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have obtained 62 first downs.

The Chiefs are giving up 16.0 points per contest, ranking them 6th in football. They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 204.2 yards per game, ranking them 13th in football. Kansas City has surrendered a total of 486 yards rushing (97.2 yards per contest) and 1 touchdown by ground for the season. The Chiefs defense has taken part in 310 plays, which has them sitting 15th in the NFL. Their defense has tallied 6 turnovers (5 fumbles and 1 interception) this season. Overall, they have allowed 80 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos +9.5

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