Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Prediction, 12/3/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The Denver Broncos (6-5) are en route to NRG Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Houston Texans (6-5). Denver opens as 3.5-point dogs. The total comes in at 46.

The Denver Broncos head into this matchup 6-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos played the Browns and earned the victory with a final of 29-12. Javonte Williams was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 18 attempts for 65 yards (3.6 yds per attempt). Courtland Sutton left with an average of 20.3 yards per catch by totaling 61 yards on 3 receptions. Russell Wilson connected on 13/22 with 134 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 91.9 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Against the rush, the Broncos gave up 107 yds on 24 attempts, which is 4.5 yds per rush surrendered. Denver gave up 20 completions on 42 tries for a total of 162 yds, and a completion percentage of 47.6%. When all was said and done, they tallied 62 plays which totaled 294 yds. The Denver Broncos ended up running the ball 39 times and recorded 169 yds, which came out to an average of 4.3 yards per carry.

The Broncos have tallied 3,306 total yards for the season. Denver has compiled 99 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 76 infractions for 566 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Denver has totaled 20 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 14 different times (4 interceptions and 10 fumbles). As a team they are averaging 115.5 yards on the ground which has them sitting 12th in the NFL. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Denver Broncos are averaging 22.4 points per contest.

Regarding yards through the air, the Broncos have given up 2,563 yards which has them ranked 19th in the NFL. They have surrendered 233.0 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 68.5%. During this campaign, they have given up 388.2 yards per contest ranking them 30th in the league. They are giving up 5.4 yards per tote and 155.2 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,707 running yards through 11 games. The Broncos are ranked 29th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, giving up 25.5 points per game.

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The Texans head into this game 6-5 this year. In their last game, the Texans walked away with a loss by a score of 24-21 when they faced the Jaguars. C.J. Stroud (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 304 yards on 26/36 passing while his quarterback rate was 116. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 8.4 yds. C.J. Stroud ran the ball 6 times for 47 yards, ending the contest with 7.8 yds per carry for Houston. Nico Collins was one of the featured targets for the Texans, catching 7 passes for 104 yds (14.9 yards per catch). Houston rushed the football for 5.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 91 yards on 18 attempts. The Texans finished the game with a total of 352 yds and they ran 58 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Texans passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.5%, relinquishing 364 yds on 23 for 38 passing. Houston allowed 30 running attempts for 81 yards (2.7 yards per rush).

The Houston Texans average 374.9 yards/outing which ranks them 6th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 98.7 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,086 yards for this season. They have given away 5 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have tallied 156 first downs. The Houston offense has 603 yds of penalties on 72 violations, which has them sitting 12th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. During this campaign thus far, the Texans have earned 3,038 yards via the pass together with an average of 276.2 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 2nd out of all NFL teams. Concerning how much they score, the Texans currently sit 10th in the league holding an average of 23.5 points per outing.

The Texans are giving up 21.1 points per game, ranking them 14th of all teams in the league. They have allowed the opposition 11 touchdowns through the air and 252.5 yards/outing, which has them in 27th in football. Houston has allowed a total of 1,046 yards on the ground (95.1 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Texans defense has been on the field for 701 plays, which is 14th in football. Their defense has totaled 15 takeaways (7 fumbles and 8 interceptions) for the season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 232 total points.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +3.5

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