Denver Broncos vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Denver Broncos vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Soldier Field is the site where the Chicago Bears (0-3) will attempt to defeat the Denver Broncos (0-3) on Sunday. Chicago opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 45.5.

The Denver Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 0-3 this season. When they last took the field, the Broncos played the Dolphins and took a loss by a final of 70-20. Javonte Williams was the best rusher for the Broncos with 11 attempts for 42 yards (3.8 yds per carry). Courtland Sutton averaged 11.4 yards per catch by recording 91 yards on 8 catches. Russell Wilson finished 23/38 with 306 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 83.9 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Broncos conceded 350 yards on 43 tries, which averages out to 8.1 yards per run surrendered. Denver conceded 25 completions on 28 attempts for 376 yards, and a completion rate of 89.3%. For the game, they ran 59 plays which gave them 363 yards. The Denver Broncos ran the football 20 different times and accumulated 69 yds, earning them an average of 3.5 yards per carry.

The Broncos have attained 1,022 total yards this year. Denver has accumulated 32 first downs as a team, and they have committed 26 penalties for 187 yds. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Denver has amassed 6 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have surrendered the football 5 different times (2 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). As a team they maintain an average of 95.0 yards via the ground game ranking them 20th in the league. When talking about scoring points, the Denver Broncos have an average of 23.0 PPG.

In terms of passing yards, the Broncos have allowed 842 yards which puts them in 29th in football. They are giving up 280.7 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 77.4%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 458.3 yards/game putting them at 32nd in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.6 yards per run and 177.7 rushing yards per game for the season. In total, they have given up 533 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. The Broncos are ranked 32nd in the league in relation to the opposition scoring, conceding 40.7 points per contest.

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The Bears head into this matchup 0-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Bears took a loss by a score of 41-10 when they played the Chiefs. Justin Fields (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 99 yards on 11/22 passing while his quarterback rating was 58.7. He threw 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 4.5 yards. D.J. Moore was one of the featured targets for the Bears, snagging 3 balls for 41 yds (13.7 yds per reception). Justin Fields carried the football 11 times for 47 yds, ending the game with 4.3 yds per carry for Chicago. The Bears finished the game with a total of 203 yards while they ran 51 plays (4.0 yards per play). Chicago ended up running for 4.5 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 116 yards on 26 attempts. Chicago relinquished 37 rush attempts for 153 yds (4.1 yards per rush). The Bears passing defense allowed a completion rate of 71.1%, surrendering 303 yds on 27 out of 38 through the air.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Bears are sitting 27th in the NFL with an average of 15.7 points per game. During the season to this point, the Bears have earned 445 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 148.3 throwing yards per contest, putting them at 31st in the NFL. They average 101.7 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 305 yards for this season. The Chicago Bears hold an average of 250.0 yards per contest which has them ranked 29th in the NFL. The Chicago offense has 121 penalty yds on 18 violations, which has them ranked 21st in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 4 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 26 1st downs.

The Bears are surrendering 35.3 PPG, which has them in 31st in the league. They have conceded 7 touchdowns via the pass and 285.7 yards/outing, which has them sitting 30th in the league. Chicago has conceded a total of 365 yards rushing (121.7 yards per contest) and 4 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Bears defense taken the field for 203 plays, ranking them 22nd in football. Their defense has tallied 2 takeaways (0 fumbles recovered and 2 picks) over the course of the season. This season, they have allowed 106 total points.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Bears NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Broncos -1.5

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