Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 11/13/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Monday, November 13, 2023

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

Highmark Stadium is the site where the Buffalo Bills (5-4) will attempt to beat the Denver Broncos (3-5) on Monday. Denver opens as 7.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total is 47.

The Denver Broncos come into this game with a record of 3-5 this season. When they last took the field, the Broncos stepped onto the field against the Chiefs and went home with a win by a final score of 24-9. Russell Wilson went 12/19 with 114 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 119.3 and finished the game with no picks. Javonte Williams was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 27 carries for 85 yards (3.1 yds per carry). Jerry Jeudy had an average of 25.0 yds per catch by accumulating 50 yards on 2 receptions. The Denver Broncos ran the rock 40 times and totaled 153 yards, earning them an average of 3.8 yds per carry. When the final whistle blew, they ran 65 plays which gave them a total of 240 yds. Denver allowed 24 completions on 38 attempts for 213 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.2%. In the running game, the Broncos conceded 62 yds on 16 tries, which is an average of 3.9 yards per rush allowed.

Concerning scoring, the Denver Broncos have an average of 21.5 points per outing. As a team they maintain an average of 116.8 yards on the ground ranking them 11th in the NFL. The Broncos have racked up 2,417 yards in total for this campaign. Denver has a total of 71 first downs, and they have been called for 54 infractions for 386 yards. They have surrendered the ball 12 different times (4 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). When it comes to notching touchdowns, Denver has earned 16 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground.

Concerning passing yards, the Broncos have surrendered 2,014 yards which puts them in 22nd in the league. They have surrendered 251.8 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 73.6%. Overall, they have given up 405.9 yards per outing putting them at 32nd in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.4 yards per running attempt and 154.1 rushing yards per game for the year. In total, they have given up 1,233 rushing yards through 8 contests. The Broncos sit in 31st in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 28.3 points per game.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 5-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bills took a loss by a final score of 24-18 when they faced the Bengals. Josh Allen carried the football 8 times for 44 yards, finishing the contest with 5.5 yards per carry for Buffalo. Stefon Diggs was featured in the passing game for the Bills, bringing in 6 balls for 86 yds (14.3 yds per catch). Josh Allen (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 258 yds on 26/38 passing while his QB rating was 85.2. He threw 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.8 yards. Buffalo relinquished 22 rushing attempts for 54 yards (2.5 yards per carry). The Bills pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 70.5%, relinquishing 343 yds on 31 out of 44 through the air. The Bills finished the game with 317 yds and they ran 55 plays (5.8 yards per play). Buffalo rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 68 yards on 16 carries.

Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Bills rank 5th out of all teams in the league with an average of 26.7 PPG. For the season thus far, the Bills have thrown for a total of 2,359 passing yards as well as an average of 262.1 passing yards per game, putting them at 5th in the league. They have an average of 108.1 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 973 yards for this season. The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 370.2 yards/game which ranks them 5th in the NFL. The Buffalo offense has 476 yds of penalties on 60 infractions, which ranks 1st in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 9 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have been able to record 118 first downs.

The Bills are relinquishing 17.8 points per game, which puts them in 5th in the NFL. They have conceded 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 219.6 yards/game, which has them ranked 14th in the NFL. Buffalo has surrendered a total of 1,030 yards rushing (114.4 yards per contest) as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bills defense has participated in 540 plays, which has them ranked 14th in the league. They have totaled 14 takeaways (6 fumbles and 8 interceptions) this season. In total, they have conceded 160 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -7.5

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