Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 1/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, January 8, 2023

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

FedExField is the location where the Washington Commanders (7-8-1) will try to defeat the Dallas Cowboys (12-4) on Sunday. Washington opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 41.

The Dallas Cowboys come into this matchup with a record of 12-4 this season. In their last game, the Cowboys stepped onto the field against the Titans and took home the win by a score of 27-13. Dak Prescott went 29/41 with 282 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 85.6 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Malik Davis was the leader on the ground for the Cowboys with 10 attempts for 39 yds (3.9 yards per attempt). CeeDee Lamb held an average of 9.1 yds per catch by accumulating 100 yds on 11 catches. The Dallas Cowboys ran the ball 32 different times and recorded 87 yds, which came out to an average of 2.7 yards per tote. In the game, they ran 74 plays which converted into 361 yds. Dallas relinquished 20 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 220 yds, and a completion percentage of 51.3%. On the ground, the Cowboys conceded 97 yards on 24 tries, which is 4.0 yds per rush allowed.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Dallas Cowboys have an average of 28.8 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 139.6 yards via the ground game ranking them 7th in the NFL. The Cowboys have earned 5,852 total yards for the year. Dallas has compiled 188 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 98 infractions for 768 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 21 times (17 picks and 4 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Dallas has totaled 27 touchdowns via the pass and 24 touchdowns on the ground.

The Cowboys rank 7th in the NFL concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 19.8 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.5 yards per running attempt and 127.9 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. For the season, they have allowed 2,047 rushing yards through 16 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Cowboys have conceded 3,257 yards which ranks them 10th in the National Football League. They have conceded 203.6 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.9%. During the season, they have surrendered 331.5 yards/outing ranking them 14th in the league. They have yielded 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 8 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Commanders come into this matchup with a record of 7-8-1 this season. In their last game, the Commanders walked away with a loss by a score of 24-10 against the Browns. Carson Wentz ended the game with 143 yards on 16/28 through the air while his quarterback rating was 31.4. He threw 3 interceptions and his Y/A was 5.1 yards. Logan Thomas was a featured target for the Commanders, grabbing 6 footballs for 56 yds (9.3 yds per reception). Brian Robinson Jr. carried the rock 24 times for 87 yards, walking away from the game with 3.6 yards per attempt for Washington. The Commanders finished with a total of 260 yds while they ran 68 plays (3.8 yds per play). Washington ran for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 136 yds on 37 carries. Washington conceded 30 rush attempts for 146 yards (4.9 yards per carry). The Commanders passing defense gave up a completion rate of 50.0%, surrendering 155 yards on 9 out of 18 through the air.

The Washington Commanders average 331.6 yards/outing ranking them 20th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 124.5 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,992 yards for the year. The Washington offense has 795 yards of penalties on 90 violations, which ranks them 16th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 15 picks while conceding 7 fumbles and they have recorded 178 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Commanders have a total of 3,314 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 207.1 passing yards per outing, which ranks 20th in the league. When it comes to how much they score, the Commanders rank 25th in the NFL averaging 18.4 points per game.

The Commanders are surrendering 21.1 points per game, which has them in 14th in football. They have conceded 25 touchdowns from the passing game and 195.9 yards per game, which has them sitting 5th in football. Overall, they have given up 337 points in total. Washington has allowed a total of 1,862 yards on the ground (116.4 yards per outing) in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Commanders defense has been on the field for 932 plays, which is good for 3rd in the NFL. Their defense has tallied 16 takeaways (8 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cowboys +4.5

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