Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Giants (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Dallas Cowboys (13-5 last season) are headed to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Giants (10-7-1 last year). New York opens this contest as 3.5-point dogs. The total is 46.5.

The Dallas Cowboys wrapped up their year having a 13-5 record. In their last game, the Cowboys faced the 49ers and took a loss by a final of 19-12. Ezekiel Elliott was the leader on the ground for the Cowboys with 10 attempts for 26 yards (2.6 yds per attempt). CeeDee Lamb had an average of 11.7 yds per catch by totaling 117 yards on 10 catches. Dak Prescott connected on 23/37 with 206 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 63.6 and ended the game with 2 interceptions. In the running game, the Cowboys gave up 113 yds on 32 attempts, which averages out to 3.5 yards per rush surrendered. Dallas relinquished 19 completions on 29 tries for a total of 199 yards, and a completion rate of 65.5%. In the game, they tallied 60 plays which converted into 282 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ran the ball a total of 22 times and tallied 76 yards, which had them averaging 3.5 yards per attempt.

The Cowboys earned 6,034 total yards over the course of last season. Dallas earned 194 1st downs offensively, and they were flagged for 104 infractions for 842 yds. Dallas earned 28 touchdowns through the air and 24 touchdowns on the ground. They surrendered the football 23 times (18 picks and 5 fumbles). As a unit they held an average of 135.2 yds via the ground game, ranking them 9th in the NFL. When it comes to scoring, the Dallas Cowboys held an average of 27.5 PPG.

In terms of passing yards, the Cowboys allowed 3,415 yards which had them sitting in 8th in the league. Over the course of their 17 games played last season, they allowed 200.9 yards per game via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 62.7%. They allowed 330.2 yards/outing ranking them 12th in the National Football League. They yielded 23 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground game. They allowed an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 129.3 rushing yards per game for the previous year. Overall, they gave up 2,198 running yards through 17 outings. The Cowboys were sitting in 5th in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 20.1 points per contest.

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The Giants wrapped up their year having a 10-7-1 record. In their last contest, the Giants walked away with a loss by a score of 38-7 when they played the Eagles. Daniel Jones ended the game with 135 yds on 15/27 passing while his quarterback rate was 53.8. He had 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 5.0 yds. Richie James was one of the featured targets for the Giants, catching 7 balls for 51 yards (7.3 yards per catch). Saquon Barkley carried the football 9 times for 61 yds, finishing the game with 6.8 yards per carry for New York. The Giants finished the game with a total of 227 yards while running 52 plays (4.4 yards per play). New York rushed for 5.9 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 118 yds on 20 carries. New York allowed 44 run attempts for 268 yds (6.1 yards per carry). The Giants passing defense gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, relinquishing 148 yards on 16 for 24 passing.

The New York Giants averaged 333.9 yards per outing which ranked them 18th in the league. They averaged 148.2 run yards per game and toted the ball for 2,519 yards for last year. The New York offense totaled 827 penalty yards on 106 infractions, which had them ranked 7th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They threw 6 picks while letting opponents recover 10 fumbles and they earned 170 1st downs. Last season, the Giants compiled 3,157 yards through the air in addition to an average of 185.7 passing yards per outing, which had them sitting 26th in the NFL. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Giants were 16th out of all teams in the league averaging 21.5 points per game.

They allowed the opposition 21 touchdowns through the air and 214.0 yards/outing, which had them in 14th in the NFL. New York allowed the opposition a total of 2,451 yards via the ground game (144.2 yards/game) as well as 16 touchdowns on the ground last year. Their defense earned 19 takeaways (13 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions) in the previous season. The Giants defense took the field for 1,078 plays, which was 18th in the NFL. Last season, they allowed 371 total points. The Giants surrendered 21.8 points per game, which put them in 18th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Giants NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cowboys -3.5

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