Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 12/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Dallas Cowboys (10-4) are hitting the road to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Miami Dolphins (10-4). Miami opens this game as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 51.

The Dallas Cowboys head into this matchup 10-4 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Cowboys took on the Bills and took a loss by a final of 31-10. Dak Prescott finished 21/34 with 134 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 57.7 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Tony Pollard led the offense in rushing for the Cowboys with 11 totes for 52 yds (4.7 yards per carry). CeeDee Lamb held an average of 7.6 yards per reception by totaling 53 yds on 7 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ran the football 20 times and accrued 89 yds, earning them an average of 4.5 yards per attempt. In all, they tallied 57 plays which gave them a total of 195 yards. Dallas allowed 7 pass completions on 15 tries for 85 yards, and a completion rate of 46.7%. In the running game, the Cowboys gave up 266 yds on 49 tries, which is an average of 5.4 yds per run allowed.

The Cowboys have earned 5,154 total yards for the year. Dallas has a total of 185 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 102 infractions for 872 yds. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Dallas has earned 28 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 12 times (8 picks and 4 fumbles). As a team they're averaging 116.5 yards on the ground ranking them 12th in the NFL. Concerning putting points on the board, the Dallas Cowboys have an average of 30.8 points per game.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Cowboys have surrendered 2,476 yards which has them ranked 4th in football. They have surrendered 176.9 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 59.7%. Overall, they have yielded 294.3 yards/game ranking them 6th in the league. They are allowing 4.3 yards per rush on the ground and 117.4 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. For the year, they have given up 1,644 rushing yards through 14 outings. The Cowboys rank 5th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 18.9 PPG.

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The Dolphins head into this matchup 10-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins took home the win by a final score of 30-0 when they faced the Jets. Tua Tagovailoa (1 TD) finished the game with 224 yards on 21/24 through the air while his quarterback rating was 119.4. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 9.3 yards. Raheem Mostert ran the ball 15 times for 42 yards, ending the contest with 2.8 yds per attempt for Miami. Jaylen Waddle was a featured target for the Dolphins, catching 8 balls for 142 yds (17.8 yards per reception). Miami rushed the football for 2.8 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 77 yds on 28 attempts. The Dolphins finished the contest with a total of 290 yds and they ran 57 plays (5.1 yards per play). The Dolphins passing defense allowed a completion rate of 48.6%, relinquishing 80 yards on 18 for 37 passing. Miami conceded 12 rush attempts for 23 yds (1.9 yds per rush).

The Miami Dolphins maintain an average of 414.1 yards per contest which is good for 1st in football. They have an average of 139.6 run yards per game and have run for 1,955 yards in total. They have thrown 11 picks while allowing opponents to recover 9 fumbles and they have been able to earn 185 1st downs. The Miami offense has totaled 668 yds of penalties on 83 infractions, which ranks them 17th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. During this campaign thus far, the Dolphins currently have a total of 3,842 passing yards along with holding an average of 274.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 1st in football. In terms of their ability to score points, the Dolphins are ranking 1st in the league averaging 31.5 points per game.

The Dolphins are surrendering 21.0 PPG, which has them sitting 14th in football. They have allowed 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 203.1 yards/contest, which has them sitting 10th out of all teams. Miami has allowed a total of 1,265 yards on the ground (90.4 yards/game) as well as 13 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 864 plays, which is good for 9th in football. They have 22 turnovers (9 fumbles and 13 interceptions) this season. This year, they have allowed 294 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -1

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