Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/29/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds AFC Championship

Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 29, 2023

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Cincinnati Bengals (14-4) are en route to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs (15-3). Cincinnati opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 48.5.

The Cincinnati Bengals head into this matchup 14-4 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Bengals faced off with the Bills and earned the victory with a final of 27-10. Joe Mixon led the offense in rushing for the Bengals with 20 attempts for 105 yards (5.3 yds per carry). Ja'Marr Chase averaged 12.2 yds per reception by accounting for 61 yards on 5 receptions. Joe Burrow connected on 23/36 with 242 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 101.9 and finished the contest with no picks. In the running game, the Bengals conceded 63 yds on 19 tries, which averages out to 3.3 yards per rush allowed. Cincinnati surrendered 25 pass completions on 42 tries for a total of 262 yards, and a completion rate of 59.5%. When the final whistle blew, they had 71 plays which gave them 412 yards. The Cincinnati Bengals ran the football 34 different times and recorded 172 yds, which earned them an average of 5.1 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Cincinnati Bengals are averaging 26.1 points per game. As a team they're averaging 95.5 yards on the ground which is 29th in the league. The Bengals have tallied 5,768 total yards for the year. Cincinnati has accrued 221 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 81 penalties for 623 yds. They have surrendered the ball 18 different times (12 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Cincinnati has earned 35 touchdowns via the pass and 14 rushing touchdowns.

The Bengals are sitting in 6th in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 20.1 points per game. They are giving up 4.2 yards per run and 106.6 rushing yards per game for the season. For the season, they have allowed 1,706 running yards through 16 outings. In terms of yards through the air, the Bengals have allowed 3,665 yards which ranks them 16th in football. They have conceded 229.1 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 58.9%. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 335.7 yards per contest which puts them 16th in the National Football League. They have allowed 17 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 12 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Chiefs head into this matchup 15-3 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs got the victory with a final of 27-20 against the Jaguars. Patrick Mahomes (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 195 yds on 22/30 passing while his QB rate was 112.5. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.5 yards. Isiah Pacheco ran the ball 12 times for 95 yards, finishing the contest with 7.9 yds per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was a featured target for the Chiefs, grabbing 14 throws for 98 yds (7.0 yards per catch). Kansas City ran the ball for 4.8 yards per attempt, finishing with 144 yds on 30 attempts. The Chiefs finished with a total of 362 yds and they ran 67 plays (5.4 yds per play). The Chiefs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 61.5%, surrendering 205 yards on 24 out of 39 passing. Kansas City gave up 19 running attempts for 144 yds (7.6 yards per rush).

The Kansas City Chiefs maintain an average of 413.6 yards/contest which has them sitting 1st out of all teams in the league. They average 115.9 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 1,970 yards overall. The Kansas City offense has racked up 838 yds of penalties on 87 violations, which is good for 26th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 12 picks while conceding 11 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 272 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Chiefs currently sit at 5,062 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 297.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 1st in football. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Chiefs are ranked 1st in football by scoring 29.2 points per outing.

They have surrendered 33 touchdowns from the passing game and 220.9 yards/outing, which puts them in 18th in the NFL. Kansas City has surrendered a total of 1,823 yards rushing (107.2 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have earned 20 takeaways (9 fumbles recovered and 11 picks) on the campaign. The Chiefs defense taken the field for 1,093 plays, ranking them 25th in football. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 369 total points. The Chiefs are conceding 21.7 PPG, which puts them in 16th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bengals/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs -2.5

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