Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 12/4/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Monday, December 4, 2023

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 38.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3) host the Cincinnati Bengals (5-6) at TIAA Bank Field on Monday. Cincinnati opens this game as 8.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 38.5.

The Cincinnati Bengals step onto the field holding a record of 5-6 for this season. In their last game, the Bengals took on the Steelers and went home with a loss by a final score of 16-10. Jake Browning went 19/26 with 227 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 96.2 and finished the game with 1 pick. Ja'Marr Chase left with an average of 20.3 yards per reception by totaling 81 yds on 4 receptions. Joe Mixon led the offense in rushing for the Bengals with 8 carries for 16 yds (2.0 yds per attempt). For the game, they had 41 plays for 222 yards. The Cincinnati Bengals ended up running the ball 11 times and had 25 yards, which is an average of 2.3 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Bengals conceded 153 yards on 33 tries, which is an average of 4.6 yards per run allowed. Cincinnati allowed 24 pass completions on 33 attempts for a total of 268 yards, and a completion rate of 72.7%.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Cincinnati Bengals are sitting at 19.3 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 75.8 yards in the run game ranking them 32nd in the league. The Bengals currently have 3,209 total yards this season. Cincinnati has earned 129 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 55 infractions for 463 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 different times (7 picks and 2 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Cincinnati has totaled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns via the ground.

The Bengals are ranked 19th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 22.0 PPG. They are giving up 5.0 yards per run and 139.6 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. For the season, they have conceded 1,536 yards on the ground through 11 outings. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Bengals have given up 2,746 yards which puts them in 25th in football. They have conceded 249.6 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 63.7%. In total, they have relinquished 389.3 yards per game putting them at 31st in the NFL.

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The Jaguars come into this game with a record of 8-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Jaguars got the victory with a final of 24-21 against the Texans. Travis Etienne ran the football 20 times for 56 yds, ending the game with 2.8 yards per carry for Jacksonville. Christian Kirk was the leading receiver for the Jaguars, bringing in 4 footballs for 89 yds (22.3 yards per reception). Trevor Lawrence (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 364 yds on 23/38 through the air while his quarterback rate was 90.2. He tossed 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 9.6 yards. Jacksonville conceded 18 running attempts for 91 yards (5.1 yds per rush). The Jaguars pass defense allowed a completion rate of 72.2%, relinquishing 261 yds on 26 out of 36 passing. The Jaguars finished the game with 445 yards and they ran 68 plays (6.5 yds per play). Jacksonville ran the football for 2.7 yds per attempt, totaling 81 yds on 30 carries.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Jaguars are sitting 12th in the league scoring 23.1 points per contest. For the year to this point, the Jaguars have thrown for 2,618 yards via the pass as well as an average of 238.0 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 12th in football. They are averaging 106.2 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,168 yards for the year. The Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 344.2 yards/outing which is good for 13th in the league. The Jacksonville offense has accrued 427 yds of penalties on 54 violations, which ranks them 32nd in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 7 interceptions while letting opponents recover 11 fumbles and they have been able to earn 123 1st downs.

They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air as well as 255.0 yards per game, which has them in 28th in the league. Jacksonville has given up a total of 961 yards on the ground (87.4 yards/game) and 7 touchdowns via the rush this season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 225 total points. Their defense has earned 20 turnovers (9 fumbles and 11 picks) so far this year. The Jaguars defense has been on the field for 682 plays, which ranks them 8th in the league. The Jaguars are giving up 20.5 points per game, ranking them 12th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bengals/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bengals +8.5

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