Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland, OH

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Browns (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Cleveland Browns (7-10 last year) will take on the Cincinnati Bengals (14-5 last season) at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday. Cincinnati opens this contest as 2-point favorites. The total has been set at 47.5.

The Cincinnati Bengals ended the season holding a 14-5 mark. In their last contest, the Bengals faced the Chiefs and took a loss by a final of 23-20. Joe Burrow finished 26/41 with 270 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 70.2 and finished the game with 2 picks. Tee Higgins left with an average of 13.8 yards per catch by notching 83 yds on 6 receptions. Joe Burrow was the best rusher for the Bengals with 4 attempts for 30 yds (7.5 yds per carry). In the game, they ran 63 plays for 309 yards. The Cincinnati Bengals ended up running the ball 17 times and accounted for 71 yds, which had them averaging 4.2 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Bengals conceded 42 yards on 20 tries, which calculates to 2.1 yds per run allowed. Cincinnati conceded 29 pass completions on 43 tries for a total of 315 yards, and a completion rate of 67.4%.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Cincinnati Bengals were sitting at 26.1 points per game. Offensively they maintained an average of 95.5 yards on the ground, which had them sitting 29th in the NFL. The Bengals had 5,768 yards in total for last season. Cincinnati accrued 221 1st downs, and they committed 81 penalties for 623 yards. They turned the football over 18 times (12 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). Cincinnati compiled 35 touchdowns through the air and 14 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning passing yardage, the Bengals gave up 3,665 yards which had them sitting in 16th in the NFL. Over the course of their 16 games played, they conceded 229.1 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 58.9%. They gave up 335.7 yards per contest ranking them 16th in the NFL. They relinquished 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 12 touchdowns on the ground. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 106.6 rushing yards per game last season. In total, they conceded 1,706 yards via the ground game in 16 games. The Bengals sat in 6th in the National Football League when it comes to team defense, conceding 20.1 points per game.

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The Browns wrapped up their season having a 7-10 mark. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Browns took a loss by a score of 28-14 when they faced the Steelers. Deshaun Watson (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 230 yards on 19/29 passing while his QB rate was 84. He threw 2 picks and his avg yards per attempt was 7.9 yards. Nick Chubb carried the football 12 times for 77 yds, finishing the game with 6.4 yds per carry for Cleveland. Amari Cooper was a featured target for the Browns, hauling in 2 footballs for 51 yards (25.5 yards per reception). Cleveland ran for 6.1 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 134 yards on 22 carries. The Browns finished the contest with a total of 307 yds and they ran 58 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Browns secondary gave up a completion rate of 44.8%, surrendering 189 yards on 13 for 29 passing. Cleveland conceded 37 run attempts for 148 yards (4.0 yds per rush).

The Cleveland Browns had an average of 349.1 yards/game which had them ranked 14th in the NFL. They maintained an average of 146.5 yards per game via the rush and ran for 2,490 yards for last season. The Cleveland offense totaled 865 yards of penalties on 102 infractions, which was good for 11th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They threw 12 picks while losing 9 fumbles and they obtained 182 first downs. Last season, the Browns threw for 3,444 passing yards together with averaging 202.6 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. In relation to their ability to score points, the Browns were 18th in the league with 21.2 PPG.

The Browns conceded 22.4 points per contest, which had them in 20th in the league. They conceded 20 touchdowns through the air and 196.2 yards/contest, which put them in 5th in the league. Last season, they relinquished 381 points in total. Cleveland allowed a total of 2,295 yards rushing (135.0 yards/game) in addition to 22 touchdowns on the ground over the course of last year. The Browns defense took the field for 1,041 plays, which ranked them 8th in the league. They totaled 20 takeaways (9 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions) in the prior season.

Who will win tonight's Bengals/Browns NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bengals -2

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