Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/5/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

Caesars Superdome is the location where the New Orleans Saints (4-4) will play the Chicago Bears (2-6) on Sunday. Chicago opens this matchup as 4.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 40.5.

The Chicago Bears step onto the field holding a record of 2-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Bears took on the Chargers and ended up losing by a score of 30-13. D'Onta Foreman was the best rusher for the Bears with 9 totes for 34 yards (3.8 yards per carry). Cole Kmet left with an average of 7.9 yards per catch by accumulating 79 yards on 10 receptions. Tyson Bagent finished 25/37 with 232 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 62 and walked away from the game with 2 picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Bears conceded 54 yds on 25 attempts, which is an average of 2.2 yards per run allowed. Chicago gave up 31 completions on 40 attempts for 298 yds, and a completion percentage of 77.5%. In the game, they had 63 plays which gave them 295 yards. The Chicago Bears rushed the ball a total of 25 different times and amassed 73 yards, which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per tote.

In terms of scoring points, the Chicago Bears hold an average of 21.4 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 132.8 yards on the ground which is 6th in the NFL. The Bears have tallied 2,565 total yards over the course of this season. Chicago has recorded 80 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 52 penalties for 439 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times (9 interceptions and 4 fumbles). In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Chicago has compiled 12 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns via the ground.

Concerning yards through the air, the Bears have allowed 2,098 yards which ranks them 31st in the NFL. They have surrendered 262.3 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 69.7%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 341.0 yards/game putting them 23rd in the National Football League. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.3 yards per rushing attempt and 78.8 rushing yards per game for the season. In total, they have conceded 630 rushing yards through 8 games. The Bears are ranked 28th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, conceding 27.3 points per game.

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The Saints head into this matchup 4-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Saints got the victory with a final of 38-27 when they faced the Colts. Derek Carr (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 310 yds on 19/27 through the air while his QB rating was 133.3. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 11.5 yds. Rashid Shaheed was the leading receiver for the Saints, catching 3 balls for 153 yds (51.0 yards per reception). Taysom Hill ran the football 9 times for 63 yards, ending the contest with 7.0 yards per attempt for New Orleans. The Saints ended up finishing with 511 yards while running 66 plays (7.7 yards per play). New Orleans rushed the football for 4.5 yards per carry, finishing with 161 yards on 36 carries. New Orleans allowed 24 rushing attempts for 164 yards (6.8 yards per rush). The Saints pass defense allowed a completion rate of 56.1%, relinquishing 207 yds on 23 out of 41 through the air.

The New Orleans Saints maintain an average of 349.1 yards per game which has them ranked 12th out of all teams in the league. They have an average of 106.0 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 848 yards for the season. They have given away 5 interceptions while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 92 1st downs. The New Orleans offense has accrued 513 penalty yds on 54 violations, which is good for 5th in football in terms of making mistakes. For the year thus far, the Saints have thrown for 1,945 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 243.1 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 10th in football. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Saints sit 18th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 21.4 points per game.

The Saints are relinquishing 19.3 points per game, which has them in 9th in the league. They have given up 10 touchdowns through the air and 189.5 yards/outing, which has them sitting 7th in the league. New Orleans has given up a total of 855 rushing yards (106.9 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns via the rush this year. The Saints defense has taken part in 487 plays, which has them ranked 18th in the league. They have compiled 13 takeaways (4 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions) this season. This year, they have surrendered 154 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +4.5

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