Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 11/27/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Monday, November 27, 2023

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Vikings (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

U.S. Bank Stadium is the site where the Minnesota Vikings (6-5) will take on the Chicago Bears (3-8) on Monday. Chicago opens this game as 3.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 44.5.

The Chicago Bears step onto the field holding a record of 3-8 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bears faced the Lions and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-26. Justin Fields was the rushing leader for the Bears with 18 attempts for 104 yards (5.8 yards per carry). D.J. Moore held an average of 13.7 yds per catch by accounting for 96 yards on 7 receptions. Justin Fields connected on 16/23 with 169 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 105.2 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bears conceded 115 yards on 22 attempts, which is 5.2 yds per run allowed. Chicago gave up 23 completions on 35 tries for 223 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.7%. In all, they had 71 plays which gave them 334 yds. The Chicago Bears rushed the ball a total of 46 different times and had 183 yds, which had them averaging 4.0 yds per attempt.

The Bears have earned 3,562 total yards for this campaign. Chicago has tallied 113 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 73 penalties for 623 yards. When it comes to scoring, Chicago has earned 15 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 19 times (12 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost). As a unit they're averaging 139.5 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 4th in the league. Regarding scoring points, the Chicago Bears are averaging 20.9 points per game.

The Bears are ranked 29th in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 26.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rush and 79.5 yards on the ground per game for the season. For the year, they have allowed 875 running yards through 11 games. Concerning passing yards, the Bears have given up 2,705 yards which has them ranked 29th in the league. They have surrendered 245.9 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 68.4%. In total, they have given up 325.5 yards per contest which puts them 15th in the league.

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The Vikings come into this matchup with a record of 6-5 for this year. In their last game, the Vikings walked away with a loss by a score of 21-20 when they faced the Broncos. Joshua Dobbs (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 221 yards on 20/32 through the air while his QB rate was 80.3. He had 1 pick and his Y/A was 6.9 yards. T.J. Hockenson was a featured target for the Vikings, grabbing 4 footballs for 55 yds (13.8 yards per catch). Alexander Mattison ran the football 18 times for 81 yds, finishing the game with 4.5 yards per carry for Minnesota. The Vikings finished the game with a total of 385 yds on 70 plays (5.5 yds per play). Minnesota ran the ball for 4.9 yards per tote, finishing the game with 175 yards on 36 carries. Minnesota allowed 15 attempts on the ground for 46 yards (3.1 yards per rush). The Vikings pass defense gave up a completion rate of 77.1%, surrendering 249 yards on 27 out of 35 through the air.

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Vikings are ranking 11th out of all teams in football with 23.0 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Vikings have a total of 2,934 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 266.7 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 3rd in the league. They hold an average of 93.8 run yards per game and have run for 1,032 yards in total. The Minnesota Vikings maintain an average of 360.5 yards per game which ranks them 10th in the league. The Minnesota offense has compiled 420 yds of penalties on 54 infractions, which is good for 28th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 6 interceptions while surrendering 14 fumbles and they have recorded 147 first downs.

They have surrendered 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 226.6 yards per game, ranking them 17th in football. Minnesota has allowed a total of 1,034 yards rushing (94.0 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns by ground for the season. In total, they have surrendered 230 points in total. They have 14 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions) on the season. The Vikings defense has participated in 699 plays, which has them sitting 27th in the NFL. The Vikings are relinquishing 20.9 PPG, which puts them in 15th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Vikings -3.5

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