Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 9/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Chicago Bears (0-2) are hitting the road to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they will play the Kansas City Chiefs (1-1). Chicago is 11.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 48.5.

The Chicago Bears head into this matchup 0-2 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bears stepped onto the field against the Buccaneers and took a loss by a final of 27-17. Justin Fields finished 16/29 with 211 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 61.1 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. D.J. Moore held an average of 17.3 yds per reception by recording 104 yards on 6 receptions. Khalil Herbert was the best rusher for the Bears with 7 totes for 35 yds (5.0 yards per carry). In the game, they tallied 51 plays which gave them a total of 236 yds. The Chicago Bears ended up running the ball 16 times and accrued 67 yards, earning them an average of 4.2 yards per carry. Against the run, the Bears gave up 120 yds on 34 attempts, which calculates to 3.5 yds per rush surrendered. Chicago surrendered 26 pass completions on 34 tries for 317 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.5%.

The Bears have attained 547 total yards this season. Chicago has amassed 21 first downs, and they have committed 12 infractions for 89 yds. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Chicago has compiled 2 touchdowns via the pass and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 4 different times (3 picks and 1 fumble). As a unit they're averaging 94.5 yards on the ground ranking them 22nd in the league. When it comes to scoring points, the Chicago Bears have an average of 18.5 points per game.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Bears have surrendered 554 yards which puts them in 27th in football. They have allowed 277.0 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 67.2%. In total, they are granting 383.0 yards per contest ranking them 29th in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 3.2 yards per rush and 106.0 yards on the ground per game this year. In total, they have given up 212 yards via the running game in 2 games. The Bears are sitting in 31st in the league concerning team defense, conceding 32.5 points per contest.

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The Chiefs head into this game 1-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Chiefs walked away with a victory by a final of 17-9 against the Jaguars. Patrick Mahomes (2 TDs) finished the game with 305 yds on 29/41 passing while his QB rating was 98.1. He tossed 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 7.4 yds. Skyy Moore was the leading receiver for the Chiefs, snagging 3 passes for 70 yds (23.3 yards per catch). Isiah Pacheco carried the rock 12 times for 70 yds, ending the game with 5.8 yards per carry for Kansas City. The Chiefs finished with a total of 399 yards while running 64 plays (6.2 yds per play). Kansas City ran for 4.6 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 101 yds on 22 attempts. Kansas City gave up 18 attempts on the ground for 74 yards (4.1 yds per rush). The Chiefs passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 54.8%, surrendering 197 yards on 23 for 42 passing.

The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 357.5 yards/contest ranking them 9th out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 95.5 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 191 yards for the season. They have tossed 2 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have earned 22 first downs. The Kansas City offense has accrued 119 yards of penalties on 15 infractions, which is 8th in the league in terms of making mistakes. During this campaign thus far, the Chiefs have a total of 524 yards via the pass along with an average of 262.0 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 6th in the NFL. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Chiefs are sitting 22nd in football maintaining an average of 18.5 points per game.

The Chiefs are giving up 15.0 points per game, which has them sitting 3rd of all teams in the league. They have surrendered 1 touchdown from the passing game and 223.5 yards per game, ranking them 19th in football. Kansas City has allowed the opposition a total of 192 yards via the ground game (96.0 yards/game) and 1 touchdown by way of the ground game for the season. The Chiefs defense has participated in 134 plays, ranking them 23rd in the league. They have tallied 2 takeaways (2 fumbles and 0 interceptions) on the season. This season, they have given up 30 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +11.5

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