Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 47

Ford Field is the location where the Detroit Lions (7-2) will take on the Chicago Bears (3-7) on Sunday. Detroit opens this game as 10-point favorites. The total has been set at 47.

The Chicago Bears step onto the field holding a record of 3-7 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bears played the Panthers and walked away with a win by a score of 16-13. Tyson Bagent went 20/33 with 162 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 73 and ended the contest with no picks. D'Onta Foreman led the offense in rushing for the Bears with 21 carries for 80 yards (3.8 yards per attempt). D.J. Moore held an average of 11.6 yards per catch by recording 58 yards on 5 catches. The Chicago Bears ran the football 37 times and totaled 133 yards, which came out to an average of 3.6 yards per tote. For the game, they tallied 70 plays which converted into 295 yds. Chicago conceded 21 completions on 38 attempts for a total of 170 yards, and a completion rate of 55.3%. Against the run, the Bears gave up 43 yards on 16 attempts, which calculates to 2.7 yards per rush surrendered.

When talking about scoring, the Chicago Bears are averaging 20.4 points per contest. Offensively they have an average of 135.1 yards rushing which is 5th in the NFL. The Bears have racked up 3,228 total yards over the course of this year. Chicago has recorded 103 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 67 infractions for 554 yards. They have surrendered the football 18 different times (12 picks and 6 fumbles). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Chicago has amassed 14 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns.

The Bears are ranked 27th in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 25.5 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.2 yards per run and 76.0 yards on the ground per game for the year. For the year, they have conceded 760 running yards through 10 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Bears have conceded 2,482 yards which puts them in 30th in the NFL. They have conceded 248.2 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 68.7%. In total, they have given up 324.2 yards/outing ranking them 15th in the league.

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The Lions head into this matchup 7-2 for this season. In their last game, the Lions got the victory with a final of 41-38 when they played the Chargers. Jared Goff (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 333 yds on 23/33 through the air while his quarterback rating was 122.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 10.1 yds. Amon-Ra St. Brown was the leading receiver for the Lions, snagging 8 footballs for 156 yds (19.5 yards per reception). David Montgomery ran the football 12 times for 116 yards, walking away from the game with 9.7 yds per carry for Detroit. The Lions finished the game with a total of 533 yards and they ran 64 plays (8.3 yds per play). Detroit rushed for 6.5 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 200 yards on 31 carries. Detroit allowed 28 attempts on the ground for 98 yards (3.5 yds per carry). The Lions secondary gave up a completion rate of 67.5%, surrendering 323 yds on 27 out of 40 through the air.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Lions are sitting 6th in football with 26.8 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Lions currently sit at 2,407 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 267.4 throwing yards per game, which is ranked 4th in the league. They are averaging 139.0 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,251 yards in total. The Detroit Lions hold an average of 406.4 yards per outing which has them ranked 2nd in the league. The Detroit offense has 502 yards of penalties on 50 violations, which is good for 25th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 5 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have earned 120 1st downs.

The Lions are surrendering 22.6 points per contest, which has them ranked 21st of all teams in the NFL. They have allowed 15 touchdowns via the pass as well as 231.6 yards/outing, which has them ranked 20th out of all teams. Detroit has allowed a total of 712 yards rushing (79.1 yards per game) as well as 7 touchdowns by ground this year. The Lions defense taken the field for 534 plays, which has them sitting 3rd in the NFL. They have tallied 11 takeaways (3 fumbles and 8 picks) so far this year. This year, they have conceded 203 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Lions -10 and over 47 total points

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