Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the location where the Atlanta Falcons (7-10 last year) will go up against the Carolina Panthers (7-10 last season) on Sunday. Carolina opens as 3.5-point dogs. The over/under is set at 40.

The Carolina Panthers wrapped up their season with a 7-10 record. In their last contest, the Panthers went up against the Saints and notched a win by a score of 10-7. Chuba Hubbard led the offense in rushing for the Panthers with 21 attempts for 69 yds (3.3 yards per carry). Terrace Marshall Jr. held an average of 11.5 yards per reception by accounting for 23 yds on 2 catches. Sam Darnold connected on 5/15 with 43 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 2.8 and ended the game with 2 interceptions. On the ground, the Panthers gave up 143 yards on 32 attempts, which is an average of 4.5 yards per rush surrendered. Carolina gave up 15 completions on 25 tries for a total of 161 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. On the day, they tallied 58 plays for 203 yards. The Carolina Panthers ran the ball 41 times and tallied 171 yards, which is an average of 4.2 yds per attempt.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Carolina Panthers averaged 20.4 PPG. As a team they averaged 130.0 yds on the ground, which was 10th in the NFL. The Panthers tallied 5,206 total yards for last season. Carolina recorded 138 1st downs as a team, and they committed 104 penalties for 862 yds. They gave the ball to the opposition 21 different times (13 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). Carolina compiled 16 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns on the ground.

The Panthers ranked 19th in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 22.0 points per game. They allowed 4.3 yards per running attempt and 122.6 rushing yards per game for the prior season. For the season, they allowed 2,085 rushing yards through 17 games. Concerning passing yards, the Panthers allowed 3,868 yards which ranked them 23rd in the league. Over the course of their 17 games, they yielded 227.5 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 66.0%. They allowed 350.2 yards per outing ranking them 22nd in the NFL. They relinquished 25 touchdowns through the air in addition to 17 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Falcons wrapped up their season having a 7-10 record. When they last took the field, the Falcons got the victory with a final of 30-17 when they faced the Buccaneers. Desmond Ridder (2 TDs) finished the contest with 224 yds on 19/30 through the air while his quarterback rating was 108.2. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 7.5 yds. Tyler Allgeier carried the rock 24 times for 135 yds, ending the game with 5.6 yards per attempt for Atlanta. Drake London was the best receiver for the Falcons, grabbing 6 passes for 120 yards (20.0 yds per reception). Atlanta ran the ball for 5.0 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 174 yds on 35 attempts. The Falcons finished with 382 yds on 67 plays (5.7 yards per play). The Falcons pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.7%, surrendering 136 yards on 22 out of 34 through the air. Atlanta allowed 20 running attempts for 86 yards (4.3 yds per carry).

The Atlanta Falcons held an average of 318.6 yards per outing which ranked them 24th in the league. They maintained an average of 159.9 yards per game via the rush and ran for 2,718 yards overall. The Atlanta offense had 594 penalty yards on 68 violations, which ranked them 32nd in football in terms of helping out the other team. They gave away 9 picks while surrendering 12 fumbles and they tallied 148 1st downs. Last year, the Falcons earned 2,699 yards through the air not to mention an average of 158.8 passing yards per contest, which was ranked 31st in the league. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Falcons ranked 15th in the league by scoring 21.5 points per contest.

The Falcons relinquished 22.7 points per contest, which put them in 23rd in football. They surrendered 26 touchdowns from the passing game and 231.9 yards per game, which had them in 25th in the league. Over the course of the season, they allowed 386 points in total. Atlanta gave up a total of 2,214 yards on the ground (130.2 yards/game) and 15 touchdowns on the ground last year. The Falcons defense was on the field for 1,082 plays, which ranked them 20th in the league. They had 17 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 10 picks) last season.

Who will win tonight's Panthers/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -3.5

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