Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction, 9/11/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: ESPN/ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 47

MetLife Stadium is the site where the New York Jets (7-10 last year) will take on the Buffalo Bills (14-4 last season) on Monday. Buffalo opens this matchup as 2-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 47.

The Buffalo Bills ended the season having earned a 14-4 record. When they last took the field, the Bills faced off with the Bengals and took a loss by a final of 27-10. Josh Allen led the offense in rushing for the Bills with 8 totes for 26 yds (3.3 yards per carry). Dawson Knox averaged 13.0 yards per catch by totaling 65 yards on 5 catches. Josh Allen went 25/42 with 265 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 68.1 and finished the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Bills conceded 172 yds on 34 tries, which calculates to 5.1 yards per run allowed. Buffalo relinquished 23 pass completions on 36 tries for a total of 240 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.9%. In all, they had 62 plays which gave them a total of 325 yards. The Buffalo Bills rushed the ball a total of 19 different times and accounted for 63 yds, earning them an average of 3.3 yards per tote.

The Bills racked up 6,361 total yards over the course of last season. Buffalo totaled 212 1st downs, and they were flagged for 92 infractions for 709 yards. Buffalo totaled 35 touchdowns via the pass and 15 rushing touchdowns. They turned the ball over 27 different times (14 interceptions and 13 fumbles). As a team they held an average of 139.5 yds on the ground, which ranked them 7th in the league. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills were sitting at 28.4 points per game.

In terms of passing yards, the Bills allowed 3,433 yards which had them ranked 9th in the league. During their 16 games played, they conceded 214.6 yards per game through the air and relinquishing a completion percentage of 63.5%. They surrendered 319.1 yards/outing which ranked them 6th in the league. They allowed 21 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 104.6 rushing yards per game last season. In total, they gave up 1,673 yards via the ground game in 16 contests. The Bills were ranked 2nd in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 17.9 points per game.

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The Jets ended the season with a 7-10 mark. In their last contest, the Jets took a loss by a score of 11-6 against the Dolphins. Joe Flacco walked away from the game with 149 yds on 18/33 through the air while his QB rate was 66.4. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 4.5 yards. Zonovan Knight carried the ball 12 times for 22 yds, ending the game with 1.8 yds per attempt for New York. Garrett Wilson was one of the featured targets for the Jets, hauling in 9 balls for 89 yds (9.9 yards per catch). New York ran the ball for 1.9 yards per carry, finishing the game with 38 yds on 20 carries. The Jets finished the contest with 187 yds while they ran 53 plays (3.5 yards per play). The Jets pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 64.5%, surrendering 140 yards on 20 for 31 passing. New York allowed 32 run attempts for 162 yards (5.1 yards per carry).

The New York Jets had an average of 318.2 yards per game which ranked them 25th in football. They had an average of 99.2 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,686 yards in total. The New York offense accrued 866 penalty yards on 91 infractions, which ranked them 18th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They tossed 14 interceptions while conceding 9 fumbles and they earned 191 first downs. Last year, the Jets racked up 3,723 yards through the air along with an average of 219.0 passing yards per game, which had them ranked 15th in football. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Jets had a ranking of 29th in the league with an average of 17.4 points per outing.

The Jets allowed 18.6 PPG, which put them in 4th of all teams in the league. They gave up 15 touchdowns through the air as well as 189.4 yards per outing, which put them in 3rd in football. Last season, they relinquished 316 total points. New York gave up a total of 2,068 yards on the ground (121.6 yards/game) and 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game throughout last year. The Jets defense took the field for 1,093 plays, which was good for 24th in the league. Their defense had 16 takeaways (4 fumbles recovered and 12 interceptions) last year.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jets +2

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