Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/22/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+8)

Total/Over-Under: 41

The Buffalo Bills (4-2) are on their way to Gillette Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the New England Patriots (1-5). New England opens this contest as 8-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 41.

The Buffalo Bills come into this game with a record of 4-2 for this season. When they last took the field, the Bills faced off with the Giants and walked away with a win by a score of 14-9. James Cook was the leader on the ground for the Bills with 14 attempts for 71 yds (5.1 yds per carry). Stefon Diggs averaged 10.0 yards per reception by totaling 100 yards on 10 catches. Josh Allen connected on 19/30 with 169 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 86.7 and finished the game with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Bills gave up 132 yds on 34 attempts, which is an average of 3.9 yards per run surrendered. Buffalo allowed 24 completions on 36 attempts for 185 yds, and a completion rate of 66.7%. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 59 plays which totaled 297 yds. The Buffalo Bills ended up rushing 29 times and totaled 128 yards, earning them an average of 4.4 yards per tote.

When talking about scoring points, the Buffalo Bills have an average of 28.8 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 118.2 yards on the ground which is 12th in the league. The Bills have attained 2,249 total yards for this campaign. Buffalo has compiled 77 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 37 penalties for 295 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 times (6 picks and 3 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Buffalo has compiled 13 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Bills have given up 1,141 yards which has them ranked 8th in football. They are conceding 190.2 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 67.2%. For the season, they have surrendered 323.8 yards per outing putting them at 12th in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.4 yards per rush and 133.7 yards on the ground per game for the year. For the year, they have allowed 802 rushing yards through 6 games. The Bills are ranked 3rd in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 14.8 PPG.

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The Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 1-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Patriots took a loss by a final score of 21-17 against the Raiders. Mac Jones ended the contest with 200 yards on 24/33 passing while his quarterback rating was 75.3. He threw 1 pick and his Y/A was 6.1 yds. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 10 times for 46 yards, ending the contest with 4.6 yds per attempt for New England. Kendrick Bourne had the best day in terms of receiving for the Patriots, grabbing 10 passes for 89 yds (8.9 yds per reception). New England rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 83 yds on 19 attempts. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 259 yards on 56 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion rate of 62.5%, surrendering 264 yds on 20 for 32 through the air. New England conceded 33 rushing attempts for 84 yards (2.5 yards per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Patriots are ranking 31st out of all teams in football averaging 12.0 points per contest. During this campaign so far, the Patriots have thrown for a total of 1,194 passing yards not to mention an average of 199.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. They are averaging 83.7 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 502 yards for the season. The New England Patriots average 282.7 yards/contest which ranks them 27th out of all teams in the league. The New England offense has compiled 297 yards of penalties on 39 infractions, which has them sitting 12th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 7 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 56 first downs.

The Patriots are giving up 25.3 PPG, which has them sitting 24th in the NFL. They have conceded 6 touchdowns through the air and 202.7 yards per outing, which has them ranked 12th in the league. New England has conceded a total of 624 yards rushing (104.0 yards per outing) as well as 5 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Patriots defense has taken part in 387 plays, which is good for 23rd in the NFL. They have tallied 3 turnovers (1 fumble and 2 picks) on the year. In total, they have allowed 152 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Patriots +8 and over 41 total points

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