Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 12/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) host the Buffalo Bills (6-6) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Buffalo opens this matchup as 2.5-point dogs. The total is 47.5.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 6-6 for this season. When they last took the field, the Bills faced the Eagles and ended up losing by a score of 37-34. Josh Allen led the offense in rushing for the Bills with 9 totes for 81 yards (9.0 yds per carry). Gabriel Davis had an average of 17.5 yds per catch by tallying 105 yards on 6 catches. Josh Allen connected on 29/51 with 339 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 82.1 and finished the contest with 1 pick. On the ground, the Bills gave up 185 yds on 32 tries, which is an average of 5.8 yds per rush surrendered. Buffalo allowed 18 pass completions on 31 tries for 193 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.1%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 92 plays for 505 yards. The Buffalo Bills rushed the ball a total of 40 times and recorded 173 yds, which came out to an average of 4.3 yards per tote.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills have an average of 27.3 points per game. As a team they average 122.3 yards rushing giving them a rank of 10th in the NFL. The Bills have racked up 4,599 total yards for this campaign. Buffalo has earned 149 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 84 infractions for 696 yds. They have turned the football over 20 different times (13 picks and 7 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Buffalo has compiled 24 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding passing yardage, the Bills have surrendered 2,439 yards which ranks them 8th in the league. They have conceded 203.3 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 67.1%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 319.9 yards/game which ranks them 12th in the league. The opposition is running for an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt and 116.7 yards on the ground per game this season. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,400 rushing yards through 12 games. The Bills are ranked 5th in the NFL in relation to team defense, giving up 18.9 points per game.

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The Chiefs head into this matchup 8-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs took a defeat with a final score of 27-19 against the Packers. Isiah Pacheco carried the ball 18 times for 110 yards, ending the contest with 6.1 yards per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was one of the featured targets for the Chiefs, bringing in 4 balls for 81 yards (20.3 yds per catch). Patrick Mahomes (1 TD) finished the game with 210 yds on 21/33 passing while his QB rate was 79.1. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.4 yds. Kansas City surrendered 25 rush attempts for 129 yards (5.2 yards per carry). The Chiefs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 69.4%, surrendering 253 yards on 25 out of 36 passing. The Chiefs finished the game with a total of 337 yds while they ran 61 plays (5.5 yards per play). Kansas City ran the ball for 5.9 yards per carry, finishing the game with 148 yards on 25 attempts.

The Kansas City Chiefs average 362.6 yards per game which ranks them 8th out of all teams in the NFL. They maintain an average of 109.9 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,319 yards for the season. They have thrown 12 interceptions while letting opponents recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 160 first downs. The Kansas City offense has 645 penalty yards on 76 infractions, which ranks 15th in football in terms of giving up free yards. Over the course of the season thus far, the Chiefs have a total of 3,032 yards through the air along with an average of 252.7 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 8th in the league. When it comes to how much they score, the Chiefs are sitting 12th in the league with 22.9 points per game.

The Chiefs are surrendering 17.3 PPG, which has them in 3rd of all teams in the NFL. They have allowed 16 touchdowns from the passing game and 183.0 yards per outing, which has them ranked 6th in the NFL. Kansas City has conceded a total of 1,376 yards rushing (114.7 yards per contest) and 7 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Chiefs defense has taken part in 718 plays, which is 3rd in football. Their defense has compiled 14 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 6 picks) this season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 208 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills +2.5

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