Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 11/5/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Bengals (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Buffalo Bills (5-3) are on their way to Paycor Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Cincinnati Bengals (4-3). Buffalo opens this game as 1.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 46.5.

The Buffalo Bills head into this matchup 5-3 for this year. In their last game, the Bills went up against the Buccaneers and went home with a win by a final score of 24-18. Josh Allen finished 31/40 with 324 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 106.7 and ended the contest with 1 interception. James Cook was the rushing leader for the Bills with 14 attempts for 67 yds (4.8 yards per carry). Khalil Shakir left with an average of 15.3 yards per reception by notching 92 yds on 6 catches. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 26 different times and totaled 115 yds, which had them averaging 4.4 yds per carry. On the day, they ran 68 plays which totaled 427 yds. Buffalo gave up 25 pass completions on 42 tries for a total of 224 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.5%. When it came to stopping the run, the Bills gave up 78 yds on 17 attempts, which calculates to 4.6 yards per rush allowed.

Concerning scoring points, the Buffalo Bills are averaging 27.8 points per outing. As a team they're maintaining an average of 113.1 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 14th in the NFL. The Bills have racked up 3,015 total yards for the season. Buffalo has recorded 107 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 55 penalties for 427 yds. They have turned the football over 12 different times (8 picks and 4 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Buffalo has compiled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of passing yardage, the Bills have allowed 1,633 yards which ranks them 13th in the league. They are allowing 204.1 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.8%. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 326.1 yards per game which puts them 13th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per tote and 122.0 rushing yards per game this year. During the season, they have conceded 976 rushing yards through 8 games. The Bills are ranked 3rd in the league in terms of team defense, conceding 17.0 points per game.

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The Bengals head into this matchup 4-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Bengals took home the win by a final score of 31-17 when they faced the 49ers. Joe Burrow (3 TDs) ended the game with 283 yards on 28/32 through the air while his quarterback rating was 134.8. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 8.8 yds. Joe Mixon carried the rock 16 times for 87 yards, walking away from the game with 5.4 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. Ja'Marr Chase was featured in the passing game for the Bengals, bringing in 10 balls for 100 yds (10.0 yds per catch). Cincinnati ran the football for 5.0 yds per carry, finishing with 134 yards on 27 carries. The Bengals finished the contest with a total of 400 yds and they ran 62 plays (6.5 yds per play). The Bengals secondary conceded a completion percentage of 71.0%, surrendering 347 yds on 22 for 31 through the air. Cincinnati gave up 23 rushing attempts for 113 yds (4.9 yards per carry).

The Cincinnati Bengals have an average of 276.9 yards per outing which ranks them 28th out of all teams in the NFL. They have an average of 79.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 553 yards overall. They have tossed 4 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 82 1st downs. The Cincinnati offense has racked up 237 yards of penalties on 31 violations, which is 32nd in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. During the season thus far, the Bengals have earned 1,385 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 197.9 passing yards per outing, which ranks 23rd in football. Concerning this team's ability to score points, the Bengals are ranking 24th out of all teams in football holding an average of 18.7 points per game.

The Bengals are relinquishing 20.6 PPG, which has them ranked 16th in the league. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 232.1 yards/contest, which has them in 21st in football. Cincinnati has given up a total of 970 yards via the ground game (138.6 yards per contest) as well as 6 touchdowns rushing this season. The Bengals defense has taken part in 439 plays, which has them ranked 4th in the league. They have tallied 13 takeaways (3 fumbles and 10 picks) so far this season. Overall, they have relinquished 144 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bills -1.5

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