Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland, OH

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Browns (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The Cleveland Browns (2-1) will take on the Baltimore Ravens (2-1) at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday. Baltimore opens this contest as 1.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 43.

The Baltimore Ravens come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Ravens went up against the Colts and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 22-19. Lamar Jackson went 22/31 with 202 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 88.4 and ended the game with no picks. Zay Flowers had an average of 6.0 yds per catch by recording 48 yards on 8 receptions. Lamar Jackson was the rushing leader for the Ravens with 14 attempts for 101 yards (7.2 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they ran 72 plays for 364 yds. The Baltimore Ravens ran the football 37 different times and had 186 yards, earning them an average of 5.0 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Ravens gave up 139 yards on 35 tries, which calculates to 4.0 yards per run surrendered. Baltimore gave up 27 pass completions on 44 attempts for 188 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.4%.

The Ravens have tallied 1,044 total yards this season. Baltimore has accrued 27 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 20 penalties for 167 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Baltimore has totaled 2 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 4 different times (1 pick and 3 fumbles lost). As a unit they're maintaining an average of 158.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 5th in the NFL. When talking about putting points on the board, the Baltimore Ravens have an average of 23.7 PPG.

Concerning passing yards, the Ravens have allowed 600 yards which puts them in 11th in the NFL. They are giving up 200.0 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 63.6%. During this campaign, they are giving up 292.3 yards per outing putting them 10th in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 92.3 rushing yards per contest this year. During the season, they have given up 277 yards via the ground game in 3 games. The Ravens are ranked 8th in the National Football League regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 18.3 PPG.

Get all of our NFL Picks Today

The Browns head into this matchup 2-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Browns got the win with a final of 27-3 against the Titans. Deshaun Watson (2 TDs) finished the game with 289 yards on 27/33 passing while his QB rating was 123.4. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.8 yards. Pierre Strong ran the ball 6 times for 27 yds, ending the game with 4.5 yds per carry for Cleveland. Amari Cooper was featured in the passing game for the Browns, snagging 7 balls for 116 yards (16.6 yards per reception). Cleveland rushed the ball for 2.5 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 78 yds on 31 carries. The Browns finished the game with 341 yards and they ran 67 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Browns pass defense allowed a completion rate of 52.0%, surrendering 68 yds on 13 out of 25 through the air. Cleveland relinquished 15 rushing attempts for 26 yards (1.7 yards per rush).

The Cleveland Browns are averaging 366.3 yards/game which has them sitting 10th in football. They are averaging 160.7 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 482 yards for the season. They have tossed 2 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have earned 33 1st downs. The Cleveland offense has accrued 170 yds of penalties on 18 infractions, ranking them 17th in the league in terms of hurting your team. During this campaign so far, the Browns currently have a total of 617 passing yards as well as an average of 205.7 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 21st in the NFL. In relation to how much they score, the Browns rank 11th in the league with 24.3 PPG.

The Browns are conceding 10.7 points per game, which has them in 1st in football. They have allowed the opposition 1 touchdown from the passing game and 111.7 yards/outing, which has them ranked 1st in football. Cleveland has conceded a total of 156 yards on the ground (52.0 yards per outing) and 0 touchdowns on the ground for the year. The Browns defense has participated in 152 plays, which has them ranked 2nd in football. Their defense has earned 2 turnovers (1 fumble and 1 pick) this year. Overall, they have relinquished 32 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Ravens/Browns NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Browns +1.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here