Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 10/22/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Buccaneers (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 38

Raymond James Stadium is where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) will go up against the Atlanta Falcons (3-3) on Sunday. Atlanta opens as 2-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 38.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game with a record of 3-3 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons stepped onto the field against the Commanders and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 24-16. Tyler Allgeier was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 13 totes for 51 yards (3.9 yards per attempt). Drake London had an average of 13.9 yds per catch by tallying 125 yds on 9 receptions. Desmond Ridder connected on 28/47 with 307 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 66.5 and finished the game with 3 picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons conceded 72 yards on 22 attempts, which is an average of 3.3 yards per run allowed. Atlanta gave up 14 completions on 23 tries for 121 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.9%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 79 plays which converted into 402 yds. The Atlanta Falcons ran the football 29 times and accrued 106 yards, which earned them an average of 3.7 yards per attempt.

The Falcons have tallied 1,986 total yards this season. Atlanta has accumulated 72 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 30 penalties for 313 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Atlanta has earned 6 touchdowns through the air and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 10 different times (6 interceptions and 4 fumbles). As a team they are averaging 119.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 10th in the league. Regarding putting points on the board, the Atlanta Falcons are sitting at 16.5 PPG.

The Falcons are sitting in 14th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, conceding 20.0 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.7 yards per running attempt and 99.0 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have allowed 594 yards via the ground game in 6 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Falcons have conceded 1,075 yards which ranks them 5th in the National Football League. They are allowing 179.2 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.4%. During the season, they have surrendered 278.2 yards per contest ranking them 4th in the National Football League.

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The Buccaneers head into this game 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Buccaneers took a loss by a score of 20-6 against the Lions. Baker Mayfield finished the contest with 206 yards on 19/37 through the air while his QB rate was 56.8. He threw 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 5.6 yards. Rachaad White carried the football 7 times for 26 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.7 yards per carry for Tampa Bay. Chris Godwin was one of the featured targets for the Buccaneers, hauling in 6 balls for 77 yards (12.8 yards per reception). Tampa Bay ran the ball for 2.9 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 46 yards on 16 carries. The Buccaneers finished the contest with a total of 251 yds while they ran 54 plays (4.6 yds per play). The Buccaneers pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 68.2%, relinquishing 340 yards on 30 out of 44 through the air. Tampa Bay relinquished 22 rush attempts for 40 yds (1.8 yards per rush).

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Buccaneers rank 25th in football with 18.0 points per outing. During the season so far, the Buccaneers have compiled 1,063 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 212.6 throwing yards per game, ranking them 17th in the NFL. They hold an average of 78.8 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 394 yards overall. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 291.4 yards/outing which is good for 25th out of all teams in the league. The Tampa Bay offense has 217 penalty yds on 30 violations, which is 30th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 3 picks while losing 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 54 1st downs.

The Buccaneers are surrendering 17.6 points per game, which puts them in 8th in the league. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 247.0 yards/contest, which puts them in 26th in the NFL. Tampa Bay has surrendered a total of 419 rushing yards (83.8 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns by ground this season. The Buccaneers defense has taken part in 322 plays, which is 2nd in the league. Their defense has compiled 10 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 6 picks) so far this season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 88 total points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +2

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