Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 8/11/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Friday, August 11, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: No TV

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 36

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (9-8 last year) will try to defeat the Atlanta Falcons (7-10 last season) on Friday. Atlanta is 2.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 36.

The Atlanta Falcons wrapped up their season having a 7-10 mark. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons played against the Buccaneers and earned the victory with a final of 30-17. Tyler Allgeier was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 24 carries for 135 yards (5.6 yds per carry). Drake London averaged 20.0 yds per catch by accounting for 120 yds on 6 receptions. Desmond Ridder connected on 19/30 with 224 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 108.2 and finished the game without throwing an interception. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 86 yards on 20 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yds per rush surrendered. Atlanta gave up 22 completions on 34 tries for a total of 136 yards, and a completion rate of 64.7%. Overall, they tallied 67 plays which totaled 382 yards. The Atlanta Falcons ran the ball a total of 35 times and accumulated 174 yds, which came out to an average of 5.0 yards per attempt.

The Falcons earned 5,417 yards in total last season. Atlanta accounted for 148 1st downs, and they committed 68 penalties for 594 yds. Atlanta compiled 17 touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns via the ground. They surrendered the ball 21 different times (9 interceptions and 12 fumbles lost). Offensively they held an average of 159.9 yds on the ground, which had them sitting 3rd in the NFL. In terms of scoring, the Atlanta Falcons were sitting at 21.5 PPG.

The Falcons were ranked 23rd in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 22.7 PPG. They gave up 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 130.2 rushing yards per contest for the previous season. For the year, they gave up 2,214 yards via the ground game in 17 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Falcons gave up 3,942 yards which had them ranked 25th in football. During their 17 games played last year, they gave up 231.9 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 66.3%. They granted 362.1 yards per game putting them 27th in the National Football League. They allowed 26 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 15 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Dolphins ended the season holding a 9-8 record. In their last game, the Dolphins went home defeated by a final of 34-31 when they played the Bills. Jeff Wilson ran the football 10 times for 23 yds, finishing the game with 2.3 yds per attempt for Miami. Tyreek Hill was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, grabbing 7 throws for 69 yards (9.9 yds per reception). Skylar Thompson (1 TD) ended the contest with 220 yds on 18/45 passing while his QB rating was 44.7. He threw 2 interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 4.9 yds. Miami conceded 26 rushing attempts for 107 yards (4.1 yards per rush). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion rate of 59.0%, surrendering 316 yards on 23 out of 39 passing. The Dolphins finished the game with 231 yards and they ran 69 plays (3.3 yds per play). Miami ran the ball for 2.1 yards per tote, totaling 42 yards on 20 attempts.

The Miami Dolphins averaged 364.5 yards per contest which had them ranked 6th in football. They held an average of 99.2 rushing yards per game and rushed for 1,686 yards for the year. The Miami offense had 881 yds of penalties on 111 infractions, which ranked them 4th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They threw 15 interceptions while surrendering 6 fumbles and they obtained 220 first downs. Over the course of last year, the Dolphins threw for a total of 4,511 yards via the pass in addition to averaging 265.4 passing yards per outing, which was ranked 4th in football. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Dolphins were 11th out of all teams in the league by scoring 23.4 points per outing.

The Dolphins conceded 23.5 PPG, which put them in 24th in the NFL. They allowed 27 touchdowns via the pass and 234.8 yards per outing, which had them in 27th in the NFL. Over the course of the season, they allowed 399 points in total. Miami surrendered a total of 1,751 yards rushing (103.0 yards/game) and 15 touchdowns rushing last season. The Dolphins defense took part in 1,086 plays, which ranked them 21st in football. Their defense had 14 turnovers (6 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) last year.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -2.5

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