Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 9/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Atlanta Falcons (2-0) are hitting the road to Ford Field on Sunday where they will meet the Detroit Lions (1-1). Atlanta is 3.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 46.5.

The Atlanta Falcons head into this matchup 2-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons played the Packers and earned the victory with a final of 25-24. Desmond Ridder went 19/32 with 237 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 79.8 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Bijan Robinson was the best rusher for the Falcons with 19 attempts for 124 yds (6.5 yds per attempt). Drake London held an average of 11.2 yds per catch by earning 67 yds on 6 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ran the ball a total of 45 times and accounted for 211 yards, earning them an average of 4.7 yards per carry. In all, they ran 78 plays which totaled 446 yards. Atlanta gave up 14 completions on 25 attempts for 140 yds, and a completion rate of 56.0%. Against the rush, the Falcons conceded 84 yards on 21 attempts, which is 4.0 yards per run surrendered.

Concerning scoring, the Atlanta Falcons have an average of 24.5 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 170.5 yards on the ground ranking them 4th in the NFL. The Falcons have racked up 667 total yards for the year. Atlanta has earned 16 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 12 penalties for 153 yds. They have turned the ball over 1 time. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Atlanta has totaled 2 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns.

The Falcons are ranked 9th in the NFL when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 17.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 119.0 rushing yards per game for the year. During the season, they have allowed 238 running yards through 2 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Falcons have allowed 267 yards which puts them in 3rd in football. They have allowed 133.5 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 54.0%. In total, they have yielded 252.5 yards per contest which has them sitting 3rd in the league.

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The Lions head into this game 1-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Lions took a loss by a final score of 37-31 when they played the Seahawks. Jared Goff (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 323 yds on 28/35 passing while his QB rate was 121.8. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.2 yds. David Montgomery ran the ball 16 times for 67 yards, walking away from the game with 4.2 yards per carry for Detroit. Amon-Ra St. Brown was a featured target for the Lions, hauling in 6 throws for 102 yards (17.0 yds per catch). Detroit ended up running for 3.8 yards per attempt, totaling 102 yards on 27 carries. The Lions finished the game with 418 yards while they ran 64 plays (6.5 yds per play). The Lions pass defense conceded a completion rate of 78.0%, surrendering 311 yds on 32 out of 41 through the air. Detroit conceded 25 rushing attempts for 82 yds (3.3 yards per carry).

In terms of their ability to score points, the Lions are sitting 10th in the league with 26.0 points per contest. For the season to this point, the Lions currently sit at 566 passing yards along with an average of 283.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 4th in the NFL. They have an average of 110.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 220 yards for the year. The Detroit Lions maintain an average of 393.0 yards/game which has them ranked 3rd in football. The Detroit offense has accrued 87 penalty yards on 8 infractions, ranking them 29th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 1 pick while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to tally 28 first downs.

The Lions are allowing 28.5 PPG, which has them sitting 28th of all teams in the league. They have given up 4 touchdowns via the pass and 268.5 yards per game, which has them in 26th in football. Detroit has allowed a total of 172 rushing yards (86.0 yards per game) and 2 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Lions defense has taken part in 129 plays, which is 18th in football. Their defense has totaled 1 turnover this year. Overall, they have allowed 57 total points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +3.5

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