Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction, 12/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

Date: Saturday, December 24, 2022

Location: Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: 49ers (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

Levi's Stadium is the location where the San Francisco 49ers (10-4) will attempt to beat the Washington Commanders (7-6-1) on Saturday. Washington opens this contest as 6.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 41.

The Washington Commanders head into this matchup 7-6-1 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Commanders stepped onto the field against the Giants and went home with a loss by a final score of 20-12. Taylor Heinicke finished 17/29 with 249 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 98.2 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Jahan Dotson held an average of 26.3 yards per catch by accumulating 105 yards on 4 receptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the offense in rushing for the Commanders with 12 carries for 89 yards (7.4 yds per carry). Overall, they tallied 58 plays which gave them 387 yds. The Washington Commanders ran the football 26 different times and accounted for 159 yards, earning them an average of 6.1 yards per tote. In the running game, the Commanders gave up 128 yards on 30 attempts, which is an average of 4.3 yards per run surrendered. Washington gave up 21 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 160 yds, and a completion rate of 65.6%.

The Commanders have earned 4,697 total yards for the year. Washington has recorded 151 first downs as a team, and they have committed 79 infractions for 720 yards. When it comes to scoring, Washington has earned 20 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 17 times (11 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). As a team they are averaging 126.9 yards in the run game which is 11th in the league. In terms of scoring points, the Washington Commanders hold an average of 18.9 points per contest.

When talking about passing yards, the Commanders have conceded 2,761 yards which has them ranked 8th in the NFL. They are allowing 197.2 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 61.9%. For the year, they have relinquished 308.9 yards per contest which puts them 4th in the National Football League. They have yielded 20 touchdowns by air in addition to 8 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 111.6 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. During the season, they have allowed 1,563 rushing yards through 14 games. The Commanders are ranked 9th in the National Football League regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 19.7 points per game.

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The 49ers head into this game 10-4 for this year. In their last game, the 49ers took home the win by a final score of 21-13 when they played the Seahawks. Christian McCaffrey ran the ball 26 times for 108 yards, finishing the contest with 4.2 yards per attempt for San Francisco. George Kittle was one of the featured targets for the 49ers, snagging 4 throws for 93 yards (23.3 yards per catch). Brock Purdy (2 TDs) finished the contest with 217 yards on 17/26 through the air while his QB rating was 117. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.3 yards. San Francisco surrendered 14 running attempts for 70 yds (5.0 yards per rush). The 49ers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 70.5%, relinquishing 207 yds on 31 for 44 through the air. The 49ers finished the contest with 381 yds while running 61 plays (6.2 yards per play). San Francisco rushed the ball for 5.0 yards per carry, totaling 170 yds on 34 carries.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the 49ers are ranked 10th out of all teams in the NFL with an average of 24.1 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the 49ers currently have a total of 3,212 passing yards as well as holding an average of 229.4 throwing yards per game, which is ranked 14th out of all NFL teams. They are averaging 133.4 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,868 yards for the year. The San Francisco 49ers hold an average of 362.9 yards/outing which has them sitting 7th out of all teams in the league. The San Francisco offense has accrued 624 penalty yds on 79 infractions, which ranks them 17th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 7 interceptions while letting opponents recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to tally 155 1st downs.

The 49ers are relinquishing 15.0 points per contest, which has them in 1st in football. They have yielded 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 211.4 yards per outing, which has them sitting 13th out of all teams. This season, they have conceded 210 total points. San Francisco has yielded a total of 1,046 yards rushing (74.7 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns by ground for the year. The 49ers defense has taken part in 841 plays, which is good for 4th in the league. They have compiled 22 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 14 interceptions) for the year.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/49ers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the 49ers -6.5

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