Washington Commanders vs Houston Texans Prediction, 11/20/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Washington Commanders vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, November 20, 2022

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

NRG Stadium is where the Houston Texans (1-7-1) will meet the Washington Commanders (5-5) on Sunday. Houston opens this game as 2.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 40.5.

The Washington Commanders come into this game with a record of 5-5 this year. When they last took the field, the Commanders played the Eagles and walked away with a win by a score of 32-21. Brian Robinson Jr. was the leader on the ground for the Commanders with 26 totes for 86 yards (3.3 yards per attempt). Terry McLaurin had an average of 16.0 yds per catch by totaling 128 yards on 8 catches. Taylor Heinicke finished 17/29 with 211 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 66.9 and ended the game with 1 pick. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Commanders conceded 94 yards on 20 tries, which is 4.7 yards per rush allowed. Washington conceded 17 pass completions on 26 attempts for a total of 170 yards, and a completion rate of 65.4%. For the game, they tallied 81 plays which gave them 330 yds. The Washington Commanders ended up rushing 49 times and accounted for 152 yards, which came out to an average of 3.1 yards per tote.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Washington Commanders have an average of 19.1 points per outing. As a unit they average 112.4 yards rushing which is 20th in the NFL. The Commanders currently have 3,241 total yards for this campaign. Washington has accumulated 110 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 57 infractions for 561 yards. They have turned the ball over 13 different times (10 picks and 3 fumbles). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Washington has earned 15 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns.

The Commanders rank 15th in the National Football League when it comes to team defense, conceding 21.3 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 111.3 rushing yards per game for the year. Overall, they have allowed 1,113 yards via the ground game in 10 contests. Regarding passing yardage, the Commanders have given up 2,127 yards which has them sitting in 19th in football. They have allowed 212.7 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 60.3%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 324.0 yards per contest which puts them 11th in the National Football League. They have yielded 18 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Texans head into this game 1-7-1 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Texans walked away with a loss by a score of 24-16 against the Giants. Dameon Pierce ran the ball 17 times for 94 yards, ending the contest with 5.5 yards per carry for Houston. Nico Collins was featured in the passing game for the Texans, grabbing 5 passes for 49 yards (9.8 yds per catch). Davis Mills (1 TD) walked away from the game with 319 yards on 22/37 passing while his QB rate was 85.3. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.6 yds. Houston relinquished 47 rush attempts for 191 yards (4.1 yards per rush). The Texans secondary gave up a completion rate of 76.5%, relinquishing 176 yards on 13 out of 17 passing. The Texans ended up finishing with 387 yds while they ran 60 plays (6.5 yds per play). Houston ran for 5.3 yards per tote, finishing with 101 yds on 19 attempts.

In relation to how much they score, the Texans rank 28th out of all teams in football holding an average of 16.6 points per contest. For the season to this point, the Texans have a total of 1,795 passing yards as well as an average of 199.4 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 24th in football. They average 101.8 yards per game via the rush and have run for 916 yards for the year. The Houston Texans have an average of 301.2 yards/contest which ranks them 29th in the league. The Houston offense has 374 penalty yards on 50 infractions, which is good for 25th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 9 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 84 first downs.

They have surrendered 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 212.9 yards/game, which has them in 16th out of all teams. Houston has conceded a total of 1,636 rushing yards (181.8 yards/game) as well as 13 touchdowns rushing for the season. Their defense has 11 turnovers (4 fumbles and 7 picks) over the course of the season. The Texans defense has participated in 599 plays, which is good for 23rd in the league. This season, they have conceded 207 points in total. The Texans are giving up 23.0 points per game, ranking them 20th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders -2.5

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