Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 10/9/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, October 9, 2022

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) are en route to Highmark Stadium on Sunday where they will try to beat the Buffalo Bills (3-1). Buffalo opens this matchup as 13-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 47.5.

The Pittsburgh Steelers head into this game 1-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Steelers faced off with the Jets and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 24-20. Kenny Pickett finished 10/13 with 120 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 65.1 and finished the game with 3 interceptions. Najee Harris was the best rusher for the Steelers with 18 carries for 74 yds (4.1 yards per carry). Pat Freiermuth averaged 12.1 yds per catch by earning 85 yards on 7 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ran the ball a total of 31 different times and had 119 yards, which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per tote. In all, they ran 60 plays which totaled 297 yards. Pittsburgh conceded 19 pass completions on 37 tries for 250 yds, and a completion rate of 51.4%. When it came to stopping the run, the Steelers gave up 98 yards on 29 tries, which averages out to 3.4 yards per rush surrendered.

In terms of scoring, the Pittsburgh Steelers hold an average of 18.5 points per game. As a unit they hold an average of 97.3 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 23rd in the NFL. The Steelers have earned 1,115 total yards for the year. Pittsburgh has accumulated 40 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 24 infractions for 159 yards. They have turned the football over 7 different times (5 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Pittsburgh has earned 2 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns via the ground.

When talking about passing yards, the Steelers have given up 1,006 yards which puts them in 21st in the NFL. They are allowing 251.5 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.3%. During the season, they have yielded 383.0 yards per outing which ranks them 24th in football. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per running attempt and 131.5 yards on the ground per contest this year. Overall, they have allowed 526 rushing yards through 4 outings. The Steelers rank 15th in the league in terms of team defense, conceding 22.5 PPG.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bills walked away with a victory by a final of 23-20 when they faced the Ravens. Josh Allen ran the football 11 times for 70 yds, ending the game with 6.4 yards per carry for Buffalo. Stefon Diggs was featured in the passing game for the Bills, hauling in 4 throws for 62 yards (15.5 yds per reception). Josh Allen (1 touchdown) ended the game with 213 yards on 19/36 through the air while his QB rating was 68.4. He tossed 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 5.9 yds. Buffalo allowed 33 rush attempts for 162 yds (4.9 yards per carry). The Bills secondary gave up a completion percentage of 69.0%, surrendering 134 yds on 20 out of 29 through the air. The Bills finished the contest with a total of 326 yards while running 62 plays (5.3 yards per play). Buffalo rushed for 5.0 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 125 yds on 25 carries.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Bills are 5th in the league by tallying 28.5 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Bills have thrown for a total of 1,188 yards via the pass along with an average of 297.0 passing yards per contest, ranking them 2nd out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 115.5 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 462 yards for the season. The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 412.5 yards per game which ranks them 3rd out of all teams in the NFL. The Buffalo offense has 167 yards of penalties on 24 infractions, which is good for 12th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 3 interceptions while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 63 1st downs.

The Bills are surrendering 14.5 points per game, ranking them 2nd in the league. They have conceded 3 touchdowns through the air and 150.8 yards per outing, which has them ranked 1st in the NFL. Overall, they have conceded 58 total points. Buffalo has conceded a total of 335 yards rushing (83.8 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Bills defense taken the field for 222 plays, which ranks 2nd in the league. They have tallied 9 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) this season.

Who will win tonight's Steelers/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Steelers +13

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