New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction, 11/27/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Date: Sunday, November 27, 2022

Location: Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: 49ers (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

The New Orleans Saints (4-7) are on their way to Levi's Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the San Francisco 49ers (6-4). San Francisco opens as 8.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 41.5.

The New Orleans Saints head into this game 4-7 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Saints took the field against the Rams and notched a win by a score of 27-20. Andy Dalton went 21/25 with 260 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 149.6 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Taysom Hill was the best rusher for the Saints with 9 totes for 52 yds (5.8 yards per carry). Chris Olave averaged 20.4 yds per reception by earning 102 yds on 5 catches. The New Orleans Saints ran the football 24 times and accumulated 88 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yards per attempt. In all, they had 56 plays which gave them 323 yds. New Orleans allowed 16 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 188 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. In the running game, the Saints conceded 148 yds on 30 tries, which calculates to 4.9 yards per rush allowed.

The Saints have earned 3,907 total yards for the year. New Orleans has compiled 128 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 74 infractions for 615 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, New Orleans has compiled 19 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 times (12 picks and 7 fumbles lost). As a team they have an average of 117.7 yards in the run game which is 15th in the NFL. In terms of scoring points, the New Orleans Saints are averaging 22.6 points per contest.

When talking about passing yardage, the Saints have given up 2,147 yards which puts them in 13th in the league. They have allowed 195.2 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.3%. For the season, they are surrendering 327.3 yards per contest putting them 12th in the league. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns by air as well as 11 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 132.1 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,453 rushing yards through 11 contests. The Saints sit in 25th in the league regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 24.3 PPG.

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The 49ers come into this game with a record of 6-4 this season. The last time they took the field, the 49ers took home the win by a final score of 38-10 when they faced the Cardinals. Jimmy Garoppolo (4 TDs) walked away from the contest with 228 yards on 20/29 through the air while his quarterback rate was 131.9. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 7.9 yds. George Kittle was the top contributor in the passing game for the 49ers, hauling in 4 passes for 84 yards (21.0 yards per catch). Elijah Mitchell carried the ball 9 times for 59 yds, ending the game with 6.6 yds per carry for San Francisco. The 49ers finished the game with 387 yards on 57 plays (6.8 yds per play). San Francisco ran for 5.7 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 159 yards on 28 carries. San Francisco surrendered 24 rushing attempts for 67 yards (2.8 yds per carry). The 49ers secondary allowed a completion rate of 68.2%, relinquishing 247 yds on 30 out of 44 passing.

When discussing putting points on the board, the 49ers rank 11th out of all teams in football with 23.6 points per game. For the season so far, the 49ers have a total of 2,355 yards via the pass as well as an average of 235.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 8th out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 127.2 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,272 yards for the season. The San Francisco 49ers hold an average of 362.7 yards per game which has them sitting 8th in the NFL. The San Francisco offense has racked up 440 yds of penalties on 59 infractions, which is good for 17th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 6 interceptions while letting opponents recover 7 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 111 first downs.

They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air in addition to 202.8 yards per game, which puts them in 11th out of all teams. San Francisco has yielded a total of 811 yards on the ground (81.1 yards/game) and 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have earned 12 takeaways (3 fumbles and 9 interceptions) for the season. The 49ers defense has participated in 608 plays, ranking them 4th in the NFL. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 173 points in total. The 49ers are surrendering 17.3 PPG, which has them sitting 4th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Saints/49ers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the 49ers -8.5

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