New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 1/9/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, January 9, 2022

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39.5

Hard Rock Stadium is the site where the Miami Dolphins (8-8) will attempt to defeat the New England Patriots (10-6) on Sunday. Miami opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs. The betting total is set at 39.5.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 10-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots played the Jaguars and notched a win by a score of 50-10. Mac Jones went 22/30 with 227 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 128.1 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Rhamondre Stevenson was the best rusher for the Patriots with 19 totes for 107 yards (5.6 yds per carry). Kendrick Bourne averaged 15.2 yds per reception by earning 76 yds on 5 receptions. The New England Patriots ran the football 36 times and compiled 181 yards, which earned them an average of 5.0 yards per carry. In all, they ran 70 plays which gave them a total of 471 yards. New England surrendered 17 completions on 27 attempts for 173 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.0%. In the running game, the Patriots gave up 80 yards on 17 attempts, which is an average of 4.7 yds per rush allowed.

The Patriots have earned 5,629 yards in total for the season. New England has accounted for 179 first downs, and they have been hurt by 87 penalties for 776 yds. When it comes to scoring, New England has earned 23 touchdowns via the pass and 22 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 20 times (12 interceptions and 8 fumbles). As a team they're maintaining an average of 126.1 yards rushing which ranks them 8th in the league. In terms of scoring, the New England Patriots have an average of 27.4 points per outing.

The Patriots rank 1st in the NFL regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 16.9 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per run and 119.3 yards on the ground per game for the year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,908 rushing yards through 16 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Patriots have allowed 3,078 yards which ranks them 4th in football. They have relinquished 192.4 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 58.9%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 311.6 yards/contest ranking them 3rd in the league. They have conceded 20 touchdowns through the air as well as 8 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Dolphins head into this game 8-8 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins took a loss by a score of 34-3 when they faced the Titans. Duke Johnson carried the rock 7 times for 49 yards, walking away from the game with 7.0 yds per carry for Miami. Isaiah Ford was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, catching 1 footballs for 0 yards (0.0 yds per reception). Tua Tagovailoa walked away from the contest with 205 yds on 18/38 through the air while his quarterback rating was 53.1. He tossed 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 5.39 yds. Miami gave up 40 running attempts for 198 yards (5.0 yds per rush). The Dolphins pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 72.2%, relinquishing 110 yards on 13 for 18 through the air. The Dolphins finished with a total of 256 yards and they ran 59 plays (4.3 yds per play). Miami rushed the football for 4.6 yards per carry, finishing with 74 yds on 16 attempts.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Dolphins sit 24th in football with 19.3 points per game. Over the course of the season so far, the Dolphins currently have a total of 3,548 passing yards as well as holding an average of 221.8 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 16th in the league. They are averaging 85.8 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,373 yards for the season. The Miami Dolphins are averaging 307.6 yards per outing ranking them 25th out of all teams in the league. The Miami offense has 792 yards of penalties on 100 violations, which is 14th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 14 interceptions while losing 12 fumbles and they have been able to earn 199 first downs.

Miami has conceded a total of 1,733 yards on the ground (108.3 yards per game) as well as 14 touchdowns by ground for the season. They have surrendered 22 touchdowns via the pass as well as 226.6 yards/game, which puts them in 15th in the league. Their defense has earned 23 takeaways (10 fumbles and 13 interceptions) on the campaign. In total, they have relinquished 349 total points. The Dolphins defense taken the field for 1,022 plays, which ranks them 23rd in the league. The Dolphins are giving up 21.8 PPG, which has them sitting 16th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +2.5

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