New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 10/2/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

Lambeau Field is the location where the Green Bay Packers (2-1) will try to beat the New England Patriots (1-2) on Sunday. New England opens this matchup as 6.5-point dogs. The total is set at 42.5.

The New England Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 this season. In their last contest, the Patriots faced the Ravens and ended up losing by a score of 37-26. Mac Jones went 22/32 with 321 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 62.1 and ended the game with 3 picks. DeVante Parker had an average of 31.2 yds per catch by accumulating 156 yds on 5 receptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 12 carries for 73 yards (6.1 yds per attempt). In all, they had 63 plays which totaled 447 yds. The New England Patriots ran the ball a total of 28 times and accrued 145 yards, which came out to an average of 5.2 yards per carry. On the ground, the Patriots gave up 188 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 7.2 yards per rush surrendered. New England conceded 18 completions on 29 tries for 206 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.1%.

Regarding scoring, the New England Patriots have an average of 16.7 points per contest. As a team they average 115.7 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 13th in the NFL. The Patriots currently have 1,094 total yards for the season. New England has earned 32 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 13 infractions for 86 yards. They have surrendered the football 8 times (5 interceptions and 3 fumbles). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New England has earned 2 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns on the ground.

The Patriots are ranked 22nd in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 23.7 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.8 yards per rush and 114.7 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have allowed 344 rushing yards through 3 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Patriots have surrendered 600 yards which ranks them 8th in the league. They have conceded 200.0 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 65.3%. In total, they have yielded 314.7 yards per contest which puts them 11th in football. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns by air as well as 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Packers come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Packers got the win with a final of 14-12 when they played the Buccaneers. Aaron Jones ran the ball 12 times for 36 yds, ending the game with 3.0 yds per attempt for Green Bay. Romeo Doubs was featured in the passing game for the Packers, grabbing 8 throws for 73 yards (9.1 yds per catch). Aaron Rodgers (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 255 yds on 27/35 through the air while his QB rating was 103.9. He had 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.3 yds. Green Bay surrendered 14 run attempts for 34 yards (2.4 yards per carry). The Packers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 73.8%, relinquishing 251 yds on 31 for 42 passing. The Packers finished the contest with a total of 315 yds while running 61 plays (5.2 yards per play). Green Bay rushed the football for 2.7 yards per attempt, finishing with 67 yds on 25 carries.

The Green Bay Packers maintain an average of 355.7 yards per game which has them ranked 12th out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 127.0 yards per game via the rush and have run for 381 yards overall. The Green Bay offense has compiled 100 penalty yards on 13 infractions, which is 29th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 2 picks while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 34 first downs. For the season thus far, the Packers have compiled 686 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 228.7 throwing yards per game, which ranks 19th in the league. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Packers are sitting 27th in the NFL with 16.0 PPG.

They have surrendered 3 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 189.3 yards/outing, ranking them 7th in football. Green Bay has yielded a total of 340 yards on the ground (113.3 yards per game) as well as 1 touchdown by ground this season. They have 3 turnovers (2 fumbles and 1 pick) so far this year. The Packers defense taken the field for 161 plays, which has them ranked 3rd in the league. In total, they have relinquished 45 total points. The Packers are allowing 15.0 points per game, which has them ranked 6th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +6.5

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