Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 11/6/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, November 6, 2022

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

FedExField is where the Washington Commanders (4-4) will meet the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) on Sunday. Washington opens as 2.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 44.5.

The Minnesota Vikings head into this matchup 6-1 this year. When they last took the field, the Vikings faced the Cardinals and took home the win by a score of 34-26. Dalvin Cook was the rushing leader for the Vikings with 20 totes for 111 yards (5.6 yds per attempt). Justin Jefferson averaged 16.3 yards per catch by totaling 98 yards on 6 catches. Kirk Cousins finished 24/36 with 232 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 103 and ended the contest with no interceptions. On the ground, the Vikings conceded 78 yards on 22 attempts, which calculates to 3.5 yards per run allowed. Minnesota conceded 31 pass completions on 44 tries for 297 yds, and a completion rate of 70.5%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 68 plays which totaled 381 yds. The Minnesota Vikings ran the ball a total of 29 different times and tallied 173 yards, which earned them an average of 6.0 yards per tote.

When talking about scoring points, the Minnesota Vikings are averaging 24.7 points per contest. Offensively they are averaging 108.6 yards on the ground ranking this team at 21st in the National Football League. The Vikings have racked up 2,420 total yards for this campaign. Minnesota has amassed 95 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 35 penalties for 271 yds. They have turned the ball over 7 times (5 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to notching touchdowns, Minnesota has compiled 11 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

When talking about passing yards, the Vikings have surrendered 1,929 yards which puts them in 26th in the NFL. They have surrendered 275.6 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 68.9%. Overall, they have yielded 383.1 yards/game which has them ranked 28th in football. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass as well as 8 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush on the ground and 107.6 yards on the ground per contest this year. For the year, they have given up 753 yards via the ground game in 7 games. The Vikings rank 14th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 20.6 points per game.

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The Commanders come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 this season. In their last game, the Commanders walked away with a victory by a final of 17-16 when they faced the Colts. Taylor Heinicke carried the ball 6 times for 29 yards, walking away from the game with 4.8 yards per carry for Washington. Terry McLaurin had the best day in terms of receiving for the Commanders, grabbing 6 balls for 113 yards (18.8 yds per catch). Taylor Heinicke (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 279 yards on 23/31 through the air while his quarterback rating was 98.7. He tossed 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 9.0 yards. Washington conceded 29 attempts on the ground for 135 yards (4.7 yds per rush). The Commanders pass defense conceded a completion rate of 73.9%, surrendering 189 yards on 17 for 23 through the air. The Commanders finished with a total of 362 yards while they ran 61 plays (5.9 yards per play). Washington rushed the football for 3.4 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 96 yards on 28 carries.

The Washington Commanders maintain an average of 331.0 yards/outing which ranks them 22nd out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 104.4 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 835 yards overall. The Washington offense has racked up 477 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which ranks 13th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 8 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to record 92 first downs. During this campaign so far, the Commanders have thrown for 1,813 passing yards together with holding an average of 226.6 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 16th in the NFL. When looking at how much they score, the Commanders are 27th in the league scoring 17.8 PPG.

The Commanders are giving up 21.5 PPG, which has them sitting 15th of all teams in the NFL. They have given up 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 214.0 yards per outing, which has them in 16th in football. This season, they have relinquished 172 total points. Washington has allowed the opposition a total of 963 yards via the ground game (120.4 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns by ground for the season. The Commanders defense has been on the field for 480 plays, which is 13th in football. Their defense has 6 turnovers (4 fumbles and 2 picks) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Vikings -2.5

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