Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, January 1, 2023

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Minnesota Vikings (12-3) are hitting the road to Lambeau Field on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Green Bay Packers (7-8). Green Bay is 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 47.5.

The Minnesota Vikings come into this game with a record of 12-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Vikings took the field against the Giants and earned the victory with a final of 27-24. Kirk Cousins went 34/48 with 299 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 107.9 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Dalvin Cook led the offense in rushing for the Vikings with 14 carries for 64 yards (4.6 yds per attempt). Justin Jefferson averaged 11.1 yds per catch by accumulating 133 yards on 12 catches. The Minnesota Vikings ran the rock 19 different times and accrued 83 yds, which came out to an average of 4.4 yards per tote. At the end of the game, they tallied 71 plays for 353 yds. Minnesota relinquished 30 pass completions on 42 tries for a total of 319 yds, and a completion percentage of 71.4%. In the running game, the Vikings gave up 126 yards on 21 attempts, which is an average of 6.0 yards per run surrendered.

The Vikings currently have 5,317 total yards for the year. Minnesota has amassed 216 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 74 infractions for 613 yds. In terms of getting in the endzone, Minnesota has earned 27 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 17 times (11 picks and 6 fumbles lost). As a unit they are averaging 94.5 yards on the ground which is 28th in the National Football League. Regarding scoring, the Minnesota Vikings are averaging 25.2 points per game.

Regarding passing yardage, the Vikings have conceded 4,222 yards which ranks them 32nd in the NFL. They have relinquished 281.5 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 67.1%. During this campaign, they have allowed 402.3 yards per contest which puts them 31st in the league. They have conceded 21 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 4.4 yards per rush and 120.8 yards on the ground per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,812 rushing yards through 15 games. The Vikings sit in 28th in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 24.9 points per game.

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The Packers come into this matchup with a record of 7-8 this year. In their last game, the Packers walked away with a victory by a final of 26-20 when they faced the Dolphins. Aaron Rodgers (1 touchdown) ended the game with 238 yds on 24/38 through the air while his quarterback rate was 78.6. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.3 yds. Allen Lazard was one of the featured targets for the Packers, bringing in 5 balls for 61 yards (12.2 yards per catch). AJ Dillon carried the ball 11 times for 36 yards, finishing the contest with 3.3 yards per carry for Green Bay. The Packers finished the contest with a total of 301 yds and they ran 65 plays (4.6 yards per play). Green Bay rushed the ball for 3.2 yds per attempt, totaling 79 yds on 25 carries. Green Bay conceded 18 rush attempts for 82 yds (4.6 yards per rush). The Packers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 64.0%, surrendering 294 yards on 16 out of 25 passing.

The Green Bay Packers average 342.6 yards per outing ranking them 16th in the league. They maintain an average of 123.1 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,847 yards overall. The Green Bay offense has 682 penalty yards on 82 violations, which has them ranked 20th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 11 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 9 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 167 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Packers have racked up 3,292 yards via the pass along with an average of 219.5 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 17th out of all NFL teams. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Packers currently rank 18th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 20.9 PPG.

They have given up 20 touchdowns through the air as well as 192.4 yards per game, which has them sitting 3rd out of all teams. Green Bay has yielded a total of 2,166 rushing yards (144.4 yards/game) and 16 touchdowns by ground for the season. Their defense has earned 20 turnovers (6 fumbles recovered and 14 picks) so far this year. The Packers defense has participated in 874 plays, which is 1st in football. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 334 points in total. The Packers are allowing 22.3 PPG, which has them sitting 17th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Packers -3.5

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