Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, 10/9/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, October 9, 2022

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Miami Dolphins (3-1) are hitting the road to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will play the New York Jets (2-2). Miami opens this matchup as 6-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 45.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this matchup 3-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins played the Bengals and took a loss by a final of 27-15. Raheem Mostert led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 15 carries for 69 yds (4.6 yds per carry). Tyreek Hill left with an average of 16.0 yards per reception by notching 160 yds on 10 receptions. Teddy Bridgewater connected on 14/23 with 193 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 84.1 and finished the contest with 1 interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Dolphins gave up 67 yards on 30 tries, which calculates to 2.2 yards per rush allowed. Miami surrendered 21 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 304 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.6%. On the day, they ran 60 plays which gave them a total of 378 yds. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball 22 times and accumulated 85 yds, which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per carry.

The Dolphins have earned 1,444 total yards this season. Miami has a total of 56 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 22 penalties for 132 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Miami has earned 9 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 4 times (4 picks). As a team they hold an average of 69.3 yards on the ground which has them sitting 29th in the league. Regarding getting in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins are sitting at 24.5 PPG.

The Dolphins sit in 16th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 22.8 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per rush on the ground and 103.8 yards on the ground per contest this year. In total, they have allowed 415 rushing yards through 4 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Dolphins have conceded 1,197 yards which puts them in 31st in the league. They have allowed 299.3 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 68.2%. During the season, they have allowed 403.0 yards/contest which has them ranked 28th in football. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Jets come into this game with a record of 2-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jets got the win with a final of 24-20 against the Steelers. Breece Hall carried the rock 17 times for 66 yards, ending the contest with 3.9 yds per carry for New York. Corey Davis was one of the featured targets for the Jets, grabbing 5 passes for 74 yards (14.8 yds per reception). Zach Wilson (1 TD) finished the contest with 252 yds on 18/36 passing while his QB rating was 59. He tossed 2 picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.0 yards. New York surrendered 31 running attempts for 119 yards (3.8 yds per rush). The Jets secondary conceded a completion percentage of 65.4%, relinquishing 178 yards on 17 out of 26 through the air. The Jets ended up finishing with 348 yds and they ran 67 plays (5.2 yds per play). New York ran for 3.4 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 98 yds on 29 attempts.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Jets are ranked 20th in football by tallying 19.0 points per contest. Over the course of the season to this point, the Jets have compiled 1,108 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 277.0 passing yards per game, which is ranked 4th out of all NFL teams. They maintain an average of 87.5 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 350 yards in total. The New York Jets are averaging 364.5 yards per game ranking them 8th in the NFL. The New York offense has compiled 257 yds of penalties on 25 violations, which ranks 11th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 59 first downs.

The Jets are giving up 25.3 PPG, which puts them in 25th in football. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 217.8 yards/outing, which has them in 15th in football. In total, they have surrendered 101 total points. New York has surrendered a total of 435 yards rushing (108.8 yards/game) as well as 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Jets defense has been on the field for 244 plays, which is good for 9th in the league. They have totaled 7 turnovers (1 fumble and 6 picks) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -6

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