Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 12/11/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Sunday, December 11, 2022

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Miami Dolphins (8-4) are hitting the road to SoFi Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Los Angeles Chargers (6-6). Miami is 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 52.

The Miami Dolphins come into this game with a record of 8-4 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the 49ers and took a loss by a final of 33-17. Raheem Mostert was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 7 totes for 30 yds (4.3 yards per attempt). Tyreek Hill held an average of 16.2 yards per reception by notching 146 yds on 9 catches. Tua Tagovailoa connected on 18/33 with 295 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 79.7 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. Against the run, the Dolphins conceded 121 yards on 34 tries, which calculates to 3.6 yds per run allowed. Miami relinquished 27 completions on 41 attempts for 230 yds, and a completion rate of 65.9%. In all, they ran 45 plays which totaled 308 yds. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball 8 different times and tallied 33 yards, which is an average of 4.1 yards per attempt.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins hold an average of 24.9 points per contest. As a unit they're averaging 89.7 yards rushing ranking this team at 28th in the NFL. The Dolphins have tallied 4,562 total yards this year. Miami has amassed 173 first downs as a team, and they have committed 75 infractions for 600 yds. They have turned the football over 15 times (10 interceptions and 5 fumbles lost). When it comes to notching touchdowns, Miami has earned 24 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns.

The Dolphins are sitting in 25th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 24.1 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 110.5 yards on the ground per contest this year. In total, they have conceded 1,326 rushing yards through 12 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Dolphins have given up 2,802 yards which ranks them 21st in the NFL. They are conceding 233.5 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 67.6%. Overall, they have surrendered 344.0 yards per outing ranking them 17th in the league. They have yielded 19 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 13 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Chargers head into this game 6-6 this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Chargers took a loss by a final score of 27-20 when they faced the Raiders. Justin Herbert (1 TD) walked away from the game with 335 yards on 28/47 passing while his quarterback rating was 88.5. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.1 yards. Austin Ekeler carried the ball 10 times for 35 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.5 yds per carry for Los Angeles. Keenan Allen was the best receiver for the Chargers, catching 6 footballs for 88 yds (14.7 yards per catch). Los Angeles rushed the football for 3.3 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 72 yards on 22 attempts. The Chargers finished the game with 386 yards while they ran 74 plays (5.2 yds per play). The Chargers pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 53.3%, relinquishing 250 yards on 16 out of 30 through the air. Los Angeles allowed 29 attempts on the ground for 154 yds (5.3 yds per carry).

The Los Angeles Chargers hold an average of 351.2 yards/game ranking them 13th in the league. They maintain an average of 84.7 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,016 yards for the season. The Los Angeles offense has 462 yards of penalties on 59 violations, which ranks 29th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 7 interceptions while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have earned 164 1st downs. For the season so far, the Chargers have earned 3,198 passing yards as well as holding an average of 266.5 passing yards per outing, ranking them 5th out of all NFL teams. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Chargers sit 14th out of all teams in football with an average of 22.7 points per game.

They have given up 20 touchdowns via the pass as well as 220.1 yards/outing, which has them sitting 19th out of all teams. Los Angeles has given up a total of 1,819 yards via the ground game (151.6 yards per contest) as well as 13 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have 17 takeaways (8 fumbles recovered and 9 picks) this season. The Chargers defense taken the field for 736 plays, which is good for 7th in the NFL. This season, they have surrendered 309 total points. The Chargers are allowing 25.8 points per game, which has them sitting 30th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -3

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