Miami Dolphins vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 11/6/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, November 6, 2022

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

The Miami Dolphins (5-3) are en route to Soldier Field on Sunday where they will meet the Chicago Bears (3-5). Miami opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites. The total is set at 41.5.

The Miami Dolphins come into this matchup with a record of 5-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins played against the Lions and notched a win by a score of 31-27. Tua Tagovailoa went 29/36 with 382 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 138.7 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Raheem Mostert was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 14 carries for 64 yards (4.6 yds per carry). Tyreek Hill held an average of 15.7 yds per reception by earning 188 yards on 12 catches. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 26 different times and accrued 107 yards, which earned them an average of 4.1 yds per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 64 plays for 476 yards. Miami conceded 27 pass completions on 37 tries for 311 yds, and a completion percentage of 73.0%. On the ground, the Dolphins conceded 82 yards on 19 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yards per run allowed.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Miami Dolphins hold an average of 22.3 points per game. As a team they're holding an average of 88.1 yards on the ground which has them sitting 28th in the league. The Dolphins have earned 3,045 total yards this season. Miami has accounted for 112 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 55 infractions for 416 yds. They have turned the football over 10 different times (7 picks and 3 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami has earned 15 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns via the ground.

The Dolphins rank 22nd in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 24.0 PPG. They are allowing an average of 4.2 yards per run and 100.6 rushing yards per game this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 805 rushing yards through 8 games. Concerning passing yards, the Dolphins have conceded 2,097 yards which has them sitting in 29th in the NFL. They have relinquished 262.1 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 69.2%. For the season, they are conceding 362.8 yards/contest putting them 23rd in the league. They have granted 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bears come into this matchup with a record of 3-5 this season. In their last game, the Bears took a loss by a final score of 49-29 when they played the Cowboys. Khalil Herbert carried the ball 16 times for 99 yards, ending the contest with 6.2 yds per carry for Chicago. Darnell Mooney was the top contributor in the passing game for the Bears, catching 5 passes for 70 yards (14.0 yds per catch). Justin Fields (2 TDs) ended the contest with 151 yards on 17/23 through the air while his quarterback rating was 120. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6 yards. Chicago relinquished 29 rushing attempts for 200 yds (6.9 yds per rush). The Bears secondary gave up a completion percentage of 77.8%, surrendering 242 yds on 21 for 27 passing. The Bears finished the game with a total of 371 yds while they ran 71 plays (5.2 yds per play). Chicago rushed the ball for 5.6 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 240 yards on 43 carries.

The Chicago Bears average 315.3 yards/game ranking them 27th in the league. They are averaging 188.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,507 yards in total. The Chicago offense has 333 penalty yds on 41 violations, which ranks them 24th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 6 picks while conceding 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 49 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Bears have thrown for a total of 1,015 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 126.9 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 32nd in the league. Regarding how much they score, the Bears rank 23rd in football by tallying 19.4 points per contest.

They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air and 188.0 yards/contest, which has them ranked 5th in the NFL. Chicago has surrendered a total of 1,248 yards on the ground (156.0 yards per outing) and 14 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have earned 13 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 9 picks) on the year. The Bears defense has been on the field for 483 plays, which has them sitting 17th in the NFL. Overall, they have allowed 181 points in total. The Bears are surrendering 22.6 points per game, which puts them in 19th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Bears NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -3.5

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